Affirm Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: AFRM) Stock Forecast: Bearish Sentiment Points To -49.28% Downside In 2025

The trading price of Affirm Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:AFRM) closed higher on Friday, May 23, and closing at $50.24, 1.90% higher than its previous close.

Traders who pay close attention to intraday price movement should know that it fluctuated between $49.8 and $51.1. In examining the 52-week price action we see that the stock hit a 52-week high of $82.53 and a 52-week low of $22.25. Over the past month, the stock has gained 2.34% in value.

Affirm Holdings Inc, whose market valuation is $16.21 billion at the time of this writing, is expected to release its quarterly earnings report on 2025-May-07. Investors’ optimism about the company’s current quarter earnings report is understandable. Analysts have predicted the quarterly earnings per share to grow by 0.54 per share this quarter, however they have predicted annual earnings per share of 2.13 for current year and 2.39 for next year.

Analysts have forecast the company to bring in revenue of 834.66M for the current quarter, with the likely lows of 814M and highs of 855M. From the analysts’ viewpoint, the consensus estimate for the company’s annual revenue is 3.18B.

On the technical side, indicators suggest AFRM has a 50% Sell on average for the short term. According to the data of the stock’s medium term indicators, the stock is currently averaging as a 50% Sell, while an average of long term indicators suggests that the stock is currently 50% Sell.

Here is the average analyst rating on the stock as represented by 1.00 to 5.00, with the extremes of 1.00 and 5.00 suggesting the stock should be considered as either strong buy or strong sell respectively. The number of analysts that have assigned AFRM a recommendation rating is 16. Out of them, 7 rate it a Hold, while 5 recommend Buy, whereas 0 assign an Overweight rating. 0 analyst(s) have tagged Affirm Holdings Inc (AFRM) as Underweight, while 4 advise Sell. Analysts have rated the stock Hold, likely urging investors to take advantage of the opportunity to add to their holdings of the company’s shares.

A quick review shows that AFRM’s price is currently -1.81% off the SMA20 and 6.37% off the SMA50. The RSI metric on the 14-day chart is currently showing 50.87, and weekly volatility stands at 4.06%. When measured over the past 30 days, the indicator reaches 6.01%. Affirm Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:AFRM)’s beta value is currently sitting at 3.62, while the Average True Range indicator is currently displaying 3.36. With analysts defining $67-$82 as the low and high price targets, we arrive at a consensus price target of $75 for the trailing 12-month period. The current price is about -33.36% off the estimated low and -63.22% off the forecast high, based on this estimate. Investors will be thrilled if AFRM’s share price rises to $75, which is the median consensus price. At that level, AFRM’s share price would be -49.28% below current price.

To see how Affirm Holdings Inc stock has been performing in comparison to its peers in the industry, here are the numbers: AFRM stock’s performance was 1.90% in the latest trading, and 64.12% in the past year.

An evaluation of the daily trading volume of Affirm Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:AFRM) indicates that the 3-month average is 8.76 million. However, this figure has increased over the past 10 days to an average of 9.11.

Currently, records show that 281.75 million of the company’s shares remain outstanding. The insiders hold 16.87% of outstanding shares, whereas institutions hold 69.95%. The stats also highlight that short interest as of 2025-04-30, stood at 14.67 million shares, resulting in a short ratio of 1.76 at that time. From this, we can conclude that short interest is 526.00 of the company’s total outstanding shares. It is noteworthy that short shares in April were up slightly from the previous month’s figure, which was 14.32 million. However, since the stock’s price has seen -17.51% year-to-date, investors’ interest is likely to be reignited due to its potential to move even lower.

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