Making Sense Of YPF ADR’s (NYSE:YPF) Volatility

The trading price of YPF ADR (NYSE:YPF) closed higher on Tuesday, December 10, and closing at $40.65, 0.35% higher than its previous close.

Traders who pay close attention to intraday price movement should know that it fluctuated between $40.17 and $42.0. In examining the 52-week price action we see that the stock hit a 52-week high of $42.30 and a 52-week low of $14.53. Over the past month, the stock has gained 39.02% in value.

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YPF ADR, whose market valuation is $15.99 billion at the time of this writing, is expected to release its quarterly earnings report in January. Investors’ optimism about the company’s current quarter earnings report is understandable. Analysts have predicted the quarterly earnings per share to grow by 0 per share this quarter, however they have predicted annual earnings per share of 5.27 for current year and 4.93 for next year.

Analysts have forecast the company to bring in revenue of 4.25T for the current quarter, with the likely lows of 4.01T and highs of 4.7T. From the analysts’ viewpoint, the consensus estimate for the company’s annual revenue is 18.68T.

On the technical side, indicators suggest YPF has a 100% Buy on average for the short term. According to the data of the stock’s medium term indicators, the stock is currently averaging as a 100% Buy, while an average of long term indicators suggests that the stock is currently 100% Buy.

Here is the average analyst rating on the stock as represented by 1.00 to 5.00, with the extremes of 1.00 and 5.00 suggesting the stock should be considered as either strong buy or strong sell respectively. The number of analysts that have assigned YPF a recommendation rating is 4. Out of them, 4 rate it a Hold, while 0 recommend Buy, whereas 0 assign an Overweight rating. 0 analyst(s) have tagged YPF ADR (YPF) as Underweight, while 0 advise Sell. Analysts have rated the stock Hold, likely urging investors to take advantage of the opportunity to add to their holdings of the company’s shares.

A quick review shows that YPF’s price is currently 8.83% off the SMA20 and 35.68% off the SMA50. The RSI metric on the 14-day chart is currently showing 77.02, and weekly volatility stands at 4.55%. When measured over the past 30 days, the indicator reaches 5.09%. YPF ADR (NYSE:YPF)’s beta value is currently sitting at 1.92, while the Average True Range indicator is currently displaying 1.74. With analysts defining $29-$30 as the low and high price targets, we arrive at a consensus price target of $29.5 for the trailing 12-month period. The current price is about 28.66% off the estimated low and 26.2% off the forecast high, based on this estimate. Investors will be thrilled if YPF’s share price rises to $29.5, which is the median consensus price. At that level, YPF’s share price would be 27.43% above current price.

To see how YPF ADR stock has been performing in comparison to its peers in the industry, here are the numbers: YPF stock’s performance was 0.35% in the latest trading, and 137.16% in the past year.

An evaluation of the daily trading volume of YPF ADR (NYSE:YPF) indicates that the 3-month average is 2.24 million. However, this figure has increased over the past 10 days to an average of 3.03.

Currently, records show that 393.26 million of the company’s shares remain outstanding. The insiders hold 0.04% of outstanding shares, whereas institutions hold 11.88%. The stats also highlight that short interest as of 2024-10-31, stood at 6.78 million shares, resulting in a short ratio of 3.92 at that time. From this, we can conclude that short interest is 1308788.00 of the company’s total outstanding shares. It is noteworthy that short shares in October were down slightly from the previous month’s figure, which was 8.05 million. However, since the stock’s price has seen 136.47% year-to-date, investors’ interest is likely to be reignited due to its potential to move even higher.

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