Is Applovin Corp (NASDAQ: APP) Doomed To Fail?

The trading price of Applovin Corp (NASDAQ:APP) floating lower at last check on current market day and closing at $340.96, -15.08% lower than its previous close.

Traders who pay close attention to intraday price movement should know that it has been fluctuating between $332.35 and $379.9. The company’s P/E ratio in the trailing 12-month period was 103.16, while its 5Y monthly beta was 1.862. In examining the 52-week price action we see that the stock hit a 52-week high of $417.64 and a 52-week low of $35.79. Over the past month, the stock has gained 38.30% in value.

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Applovin Corp, whose market valuation is $121.19 billion at the time of this writing, is expected to release its quarterly earnings report in January. Investors’ optimism about the company’s current quarter earnings report is understandable. Analysts have predicted the quarterly earnings per share to grow by 1.53 per share this quarter, however they have predicted annual earnings per share of 5.21 for current year and 6.9 for next year.

Analysts have forecast the company to bring in revenue of 1.26B for the current quarter, with the likely lows of 1.25B and highs of 1.27B. From the analysts’ viewpoint, the consensus estimate for the company’s annual revenue is 4.59B.

On the technical side, indicators suggest APP has a 100% Buy on average for the short term. According to the data of the stock’s medium term indicators, the stock is currently averaging as a 100% Buy, while an average of long term indicators suggests that the stock is currently 100% Buy.

Here is the average analyst rating on the stock as represented by 1.00 to 5.00, with the extremes of 1.00 and 5.00 suggesting the stock should be considered as either strong buy or strong sell respectively. The number of analysts that have assigned APP a recommendation rating is 21. Out of them, 7 rate it a Hold, while 13 recommend Buy, whereas 0 assign an Overweight rating. 0 analyst(s) have tagged Applovin Corp (APP) as Underweight, while 1 advise Sell. Analysts have rated the stock Buy, likely urging investors to take advantage of the opportunity to add to their holdings of the company’s shares.

If we dig deeper into the stock’s outlook, we see that the stock’s PEG is 4.13, which symbolizes a positive outlook. A quick review shows that APP’s price is currently 4.14% off the SMA20 and 50.51% off the SMA50. The RSI metric on the 14-day chart is currently showing 61.05, and weekly volatility stands at 7.21%. When measured over the past 30 days, the indicator reaches 7.88%. Applovin Corp (NASDAQ:APP)’s beta value is currently sitting at 2.28, while the Average True Range indicator is currently displaying 24.64. With analysts defining $100-$435 as the low and high price targets, we arrive at a consensus price target of $180 for the trailing 12-month period. The current price is about 70.67% off the estimated low and -27.58% off the forecast high, based on this estimate. Investors will be thrilled if APP’s share price rises to $180, which is the median consensus price. At that level, APP’s share price would be 47.21% above current price.

To see how Applovin Corp stock has been performing today in comparison to its peers in the industry, here are the numbers: APP stock’s performance was -15.08% at last check in today’s session, and 825.51% in the past year. Applovin Corp has a P/E ratio of 103.16.

An evaluation of the daily trading volume of Applovin Corp (NASDAQ:APP) indicates that the 3-month average is 5.74 million. However, this figure has increased over the past 10 days to an average of 6.01.

Currently, records show that 298.56 million of the company’s shares remain outstanding. The insiders hold 38.24% of outstanding shares, whereas institutions hold 55.96%. The stats also highlight that short interest as of 2024-11-15, stood at 16.67 million shares, resulting in a short ratio of 2.71 at that time. From this, we can conclude that short interest is 579.00 of the company’s total outstanding shares. It is noteworthy that short shares in November were down slightly from the previous month’s figure, which was 21.88 million. However, since the stock’s price has seen 755.60% year-to-date, investors’ interest is likely to be reignited due to its potential to move even higher.

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