Is Sunrun Inc (NASDAQ: RUN) Doomed From The Get-Go?

The trading price of Sunrun Inc (NASDAQ:RUN) closed higher on Monday, November 18, and closing at $10.01, 1.21% higher than its previous close.

Traders who pay close attention to intraday price movement should know that it fluctuated between $9.54 and $10.185. In examining the 52-week price action we see that the stock hit a 52-week high of $22.26 and a 52-week low of $9.23. Over the past month, the stock has lost -31.49% in value.

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Sunrun Inc, whose market valuation is $2.04 billion at the time of this writing, is expected to release its quarterly earnings report in December. Investors’ optimism about the company’s current quarter earnings report is understandable. Analysts have predicted the quarterly earnings per share to grow by -0.1 per share this quarter, however they have predicted annual earnings per share of -0.27 for current year and -0.87 for next year.

Analysts have forecast the company to bring in revenue of 549.06M for the current quarter, with the likely lows of 496.8M and highs of 603.44M. From the analysts’ viewpoint, the consensus estimate for the company’s annual revenue is 2.06B.

On the technical side, indicators suggest RUN has a 100% Sell on average for the short term. According to the data of the stock’s medium term indicators, the stock is currently averaging as a Hold, while an average of long term indicators suggests that the stock is currently 50% Sell.

Here is the average analyst rating on the stock as represented by 1.00 to 5.00, with the extremes of 1.00 and 5.00 suggesting the stock should be considered as either strong buy or strong sell respectively. The number of analysts that have assigned RUN a recommendation rating is 19. Out of them, 3 rate it a Hold, while 16 recommend Buy, whereas 0 assign an Overweight rating. 0 analyst(s) have tagged Sunrun Inc (RUN) as Underweight, while 0 advise Sell. Analysts have rated the stock Buy, likely urging investors to take advantage of the opportunity to add to their holdings of the company’s shares.

A quick review shows that RUN’s price is currently -21.77% off the SMA20 and -35.63% off the SMA50. The RSI metric on the 14-day chart is currently showing 32.51, and weekly volatility stands at 10.60%. When measured over the past 30 days, the indicator reaches 9.28%. Sunrun Inc (NASDAQ:RUN)’s beta value is currently sitting at 2.59, while the Average True Range indicator is currently displaying 1.20. With analysts defining $11-$82 as the low and high price targets, we arrive at a consensus price target of $30 for the trailing 12-month period. The current price is about -9.89% off the estimated low and -719.18% off the forecast high, based on this estimate. Investors will be thrilled if RUN’s share price rises to $30, which is the median consensus price. At that level, RUN’s share price would be -199.7% below current price.

To see how Sunrun Inc stock has been performing in comparison to its peers in the industry, here are the numbers: RUN stock’s performance was 1.21% in the latest trading, and -10.55% in the past year.

An evaluation of the daily trading volume of Sunrun Inc (NASDAQ:RUN) indicates that the 3-month average is 8.76 million. However, this figure has increased over the past 10 days to an average of 18.26.

Currently, records show that 219.39 million of the company’s shares remain outstanding. The insiders hold 2.87% of outstanding shares, whereas institutions hold 109.70%. The stats also highlight that short interest as of 2024-10-31, stood at 45.05 million shares, resulting in a short ratio of 6.71 at that time. From this, we can conclude that short interest is 2418.00 of the company’s total outstanding shares. It is noteworthy that short shares in October were down slightly from the previous month’s figure, which was 45.09 million. However, since the stock’s price has seen -49.01% year-to-date, investors’ interest is likely to be reignited due to its potential to move even lower.

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