Rivian Automotive Inc (NASDAQ: RIVN) Stock Forecast: Bearish Views Expect -67.79 Percent Drop In 2024

The trading price of Rivian Automotive Inc (NASDAQ:RIVN) floating higher at last check on current market day and closing at $10.43, 3.68% higher than its previous close.

Traders who pay close attention to intraday price movement should know that it has been fluctuating between $9.85 and $10.645. In examining the 52-week price action we see that the stock hit a 52-week high of $24.61 and a 52-week low of $8.26. Over the past month, the stock has gained 3.88% in value.

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Rivian Automotive Inc, whose market valuation is $10.39 billion at the time of this writing, is expected to release its quarterly earnings report on 2025-Feb-19. Investors’ optimism about the company’s current quarter earnings report is understandable. Analysts have predicted the quarterly earnings per share to grow by -0.65 per share this quarter, however they have predicted annual earnings per share of -4.02 for current year and -2.65 for next year.

Analysts have forecast the company to bring in revenue of 1.36B for the current quarter, with the likely lows of 892.5M and highs of 1.5B. From the analysts’ viewpoint, the consensus estimate for the company’s annual revenue is 4.64B.

On the technical side, indicators suggest RIVN has a 100% Sell on average for the short term. According to the data of the stock’s medium term indicators, the stock is currently averaging as a 100% Sell, while an average of long term indicators suggests that the stock is currently 50% Sell.

Here is the average analyst rating on the stock as represented by 1.00 to 5.00, with the extremes of 1.00 and 5.00 suggesting the stock should be considered as either strong buy or strong sell respectively. The number of analysts that have assigned RIVN a recommendation rating is 23. Out of them, 5 rate it a Hold, while 16 recommend Buy, whereas 0 assign an Overweight rating. 0 analyst(s) have tagged Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN) as Underweight, while 2 advise Sell. Analysts have rated the stock Buy, likely urging investors to take advantage of the opportunity to add to their holdings of the company’s shares.

A quick review shows that RIVN’s price is currently -0.29% off the SMA20 and -5.49% off the SMA50. The RSI metric on the 14-day chart is currently showing 48.33, and weekly volatility stands at 10.07%. When measured over the past 30 days, the indicator reaches 6.01%. Rivian Automotive Inc (NASDAQ:RIVN)’s beta value is currently sitting at 2.04, while the Average True Range indicator is currently displaying 0.79. With analysts defining $9-$147 as the low and high price targets, we arrive at a consensus price target of $17.5 for the trailing 12-month period. The current price is about 13.71% off the estimated low and -1309.4% off the forecast high, based on this estimate. Investors will be thrilled if RIVN’s share price rises to $17.5, which is the median consensus price. At that level, RIVN’s share price would be -67.79% below current price.

To see how Rivian Automotive Inc stock has been performing today in comparison to its peers in the industry, here are the numbers: RIVN stock’s performance was 3.68% at last check in today’s session, and -36.36% in the past year.

An evaluation of the daily trading volume of Rivian Automotive Inc (NASDAQ:RIVN) indicates that the 3-month average is 32.84 million. However, this figure has increased over the past 10 days to an average of 58.18.

Currently, records show that 960.00 million of the company’s shares remain outstanding. The insiders hold 27.57% of outstanding shares, whereas institutions hold 44.31%. The stats also highlight that short interest as of 2024-10-31, stood at 135.07 million shares, resulting in a short ratio of 4.85 at that time. From this, we can conclude that short interest is 1816.00 of the company’s total outstanding shares. It is noteworthy that short shares in October were up slightly from the previous month’s figure, which was 122.34 million. However, since the stock’s price has seen -55.54% year-to-date, investors’ interest is likely to be reignited due to its potential to move even lower.

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