Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI) Should Be Considered For The Next Few Weeks

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (NYSE:ARI) concluded the trading at $9.25 on current market day with a rise of 0.65% from its closing price on previous day.

Taking a look at stock we notice that its last check on previous day was $9.19 and 5Y monthly beta was reading 1.803 with its price kept floating in the range of $9.2 and $9.3505 on the day. Considering stock’s 52-week price range provides that ARI hit a high price of $12.74 and saw its price falling to a low level of $8.52 during that period. Over a period of past 1-month, stock came adding 7.06% in its value.

With its current market valuation of $1.28 billion, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc is set to declare its quarterly results on 2025-Feb-04. ARI Stock’s Forward Dividend of 1.30 and its yield of 14.05% are making investors’ thoughts stronger that it could climb further before the company announces its earnings for the current quarter. Analysts are in estimates of 0.24 per share for company’s earnings in the current quarter and are expecting its annual EPS growth moving up to 0.72 for current year with estimates of that growing to 0.83 in next year.

Analysts watching the company’s growth closely have provided estimates for its revenue growth with an average revenue estimate of 47.07M. They suggested that in the process company could generate revenue of as low as 44.2M which could climb up to 52.2M to hit a high. The average estimate is representing a decrease of -18.90% in sales growth from that of posted by the company in the same quarter of last year. In keeping analyst consensus estimate with, company is forecasted to be making an annual revenue of 205.67M in current fiscal year, which will be -18.40% less from revenue generated by the company last year.

In contrast, when we review ARI stock’s current outlook then short term indicators are assigning it an average of 50% Sell, while medium term indicators are categorizing the stock at an average of 100% Sell. Long term indicators are suggesting an average of 100% Sell for it.

Digging deeper we become aware of the PEG ratio of the ARI stock which is currently positioned at 0. It further provides that stock’s current price level is 3.95% away from its 20-day simple moving average and is -0.32% off its SMA50. Its relative strength index (RSI) for 14-periods is oscillating at 59.30 while volatility remained at 2.91% over the past week which changes to 2.24% when measuring it over the past month. Beta is valued at 1.80, while measure of average true range or ATR is currently at 0.21. In predicting price targets of as low as $13.5 and as high as $13.5, analysts are in agreement on assigning the stock over the next 12 months average price target of $13.5. Stock’s current price level is -45.95% above from estimated low price target while it is -45.95% below the estimated high; and even if the ARI’s share succeeded to reach the median price of $13.5, then the outlook of -45.95% could come to the excitement of the investors.

Having a second look at Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (NYSE:ARI) provides that stock’s average daily trading volume for 3 months was 1.19 million, while it jumped to 1759480 when we calculate an average volume for past 10 days. Number of outstanding shares of the stock stood at 140.60 million.

The percentage of outstanding shares held by the insiders is 1.13% while it is 64.94% for the institutional holders. The figures also indicate that as of 2024-10-15, number of stock’s short shares was 4.9 million which implies a short ratio of 4.14. This shows up a 497.00 of Short Interest in company’s outstanding shares on the day. In October the standing of shares short improved as it was 4.49 million in the previous month. Subtraction of -21.21% by stock’s current price to its year-to-date value in last trading session is likely to be increasing investors’ interest in the stock as it is hinting an extended uptrend.

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