United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE: UPS) Stock Forecast: Bearish Expectations Portend -97.3% Downside In 2024

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The trading price of United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) closed lower on Tuesday, October 29, and closing at $134.31, -0.76% lower than its previous close.

Traders who pay close attention to intraday price movement should know that it fluctuated between $133.9701 and $136.07. The company’s P/E ratio in the trailing 12-month period was 20.31, while its 5Y monthly beta was 0.979. In examining the 52-week price action we see that the stock hit a 52-week high of $163.82 and a 52-week low of $123.12. Over the past month, the stock has lost -1.49% in value.

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United Parcel Service, Inc., whose market valuation is $115.05 billion at the time of this writing, is expected to release its quarterly earnings report in November. The dividend yield on the company stock is 4.85%, while its Forward Dividend ratio is 6.51. Investors’ optimism about the company’s current quarter earnings report is understandable. Analysts have predicted the quarterly earnings per share to grow by 2.52 per share this quarter, however they have predicted annual earnings per share of 7.46 for current year and 8.79 for next year.

Analysts have forecast the company to bring in revenue of 25.62B for the current quarter, with the likely lows of 25.2B and highs of 26.61B. From the analysts’ viewpoint, the consensus estimate for the company’s annual revenue is 91.3B.

On the technical side, indicators suggest UPS has a 50% Buy on average for the short term. According to the data of the stock’s medium term indicators, the stock is currently averaging as a 50% Sell, while an average of long term indicators suggests that the stock is currently 50% Sell.

Here is the average analyst rating on the stock as represented by 1.00 to 5.00, with the extremes of 1.00 and 5.00 suggesting the stock should be considered as either strong buy or strong sell respectively. The number of analysts that have assigned UPS a recommendation rating is 18. Out of them, 6 rate it a Hold, while 9 recommend Buy, whereas 1 assign an Overweight rating. 0 analyst(s) have tagged United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) as Underweight, while 2 advise Sell. Analysts have rated the stock Buy, likely urging investors to take advantage of the opportunity to add to their holdings of the company’s shares.

If we dig deeper into the stock’s outlook, we see that the stock’s PEG is 4.58, which symbolizes a positive outlook. A quick review shows that UPS’s price is currently 0.51% off the SMA20 and 2.43% off the SMA50. The RSI metric on the 14-day chart is currently showing 52.49, and weekly volatility stands at 2.63%. When measured over the past 30 days, the indicator reaches 1.79%. United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS)’s beta value is currently sitting at 0.98, while the Average True Range indicator is currently displaying 2.99. With analysts defining $100-$265 as the low and high price targets, we arrive at a consensus price target of $162 for the trailing 12-month period. The current price is about 25.55% off the estimated low and -97.3% off the forecast high, based on this estimate. Investors will be thrilled if UPS’s share price rises to $162, which is the median consensus price. At that level, UPS’s share price would be -20.62% below current price.

To see how United Parcel Service, Inc. stock has been performing in comparison to its peers in the industry, here are the numbers: UPS stock’s performance was -0.76% in the latest trading, and -0.39% in the past year. United Parcel Service, Inc. has a P/E ratio of 20.31.

An evaluation of the daily trading volume of United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) indicates that the 3-month average is 4.19 million. However, this figure has increased over the past 10 days to an average of 4.62.

Currently, records show that 856.58 million of the company’s shares remain outstanding. The insiders hold 14.50% of outstanding shares, whereas institutions hold 61.84%. The stats also highlight that short interest as of 2024-10-15, stood at 13.94 million shares, resulting in a short ratio of 3.68 at that time. From this, we can conclude that short interest is 190.00 of the company’s total outstanding shares. It is noteworthy that short shares in October were up slightly from the previous month’s figure, which was 12.87 million. However, since the stock’s price has seen -14.58% year-to-date, investors’ interest is likely to be reignited due to its potential to move even lower.

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