Agilon Health Inc Forecast: Reassessing The Past

Agilon Health Inc (NYSE:AGL) concluded the trading at $2.98 on current market day with a fall of -9.70% from its closing price on previous day.

Taking a look at stock we notice that its last check on previous day was $3.30 and 5Y monthly beta was reading 0.54 with its price kept floating in the range of $2.98 and $3.3908 on the day. Considering stock’s 52-week price range provides that AGL hit a high price of $19.94 and saw its price falling to a low level of $2.99 during that period. Over a period of past 1-month, stock came subtracting -23.00% in its value.

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With its current market valuation of $1.23 billion, Agilon Health Inc is set to declare its quarterly results on 2024-Nov-07. Analysts are in estimates of -0.11 per share for company’s earnings in the current quarter and are expecting its annual EPS growth moving up to -0.35 for current year with estimates of that growing to -0.18 in next year.

Analysts watching the company’s growth closely have provided estimates for its revenue growth with an average revenue estimate of 1.47B. They suggested that in the process company could generate revenue of as low as 1.47B which could climb up to 1.48B to hit a high. The average estimate is representing an increase of 21.00% in sales growth from that of posted by the company in the same quarter of last year. In keeping analyst consensus estimate with, company is forecasted to be making an annual revenue of 6.02B in current fiscal year, which will be 39.60% more from revenue generated by the company last year.

In contrast, when we review AGL stock’s current outlook then short term indicators are assigning it an average of 100% Sell, while medium term indicators are categorizing the stock at an average of 100% Sell. Long term indicators are suggesting an average of 100% Sell for it.

According to ratings assigned by 10 analysts at the scale of 1 to 5 with 1.00 representing a strong buy and 5.00 suggesting a strong sell; 3 of them are recommending Agilon Health Inc (AGL) as a Hold, while 7 are in view that stock is a Buy. Recommendation by 0 analysts for the stock is an Underweight while number of those analysts who rated the stock as an Overweight is 0, whereas 0 of them are considering the stock as a Sell. When taken as whole, stock gets a rating of Overweight and that encourages the investors to exploit the opportunity and build their stake up in the company.

Digging deeper we become aware of the PEG ratio of the AGL stock which is currently positioned at 0. It further provides that stock’s current price level is -13.22% away from its 20-day simple moving average and is -23.53% off its SMA50. Its relative strength index (RSI) for 14-periods is oscillating at 36.81 while volatility remained at 10.31% over the past week which changes to 9.44% when measuring it over the past month. Beta is valued at 0.53, while measure of average true range or ATR is currently at 0.32. In predicting price targets of as low as $3 and as high as $6.5, analysts are in agreement on assigning the stock over the next 12 months average price target of $5. Stock’s current price level is -0.67% above from estimated low price target while it is -118.12% below the estimated high; and even if the AGL’s share succeeded to reach the median price of $5, then the outlook of -67.79% could come to the excitement of the investors.

Having a second look at Agilon Health Inc (NYSE:AGL) provides that stock’s average daily trading volume for 3 months was 4.30 million, while it jumped to 3749580 when we calculate an average volume for past 10 days. Number of outstanding shares of the stock stood at 406.39 million.

The percentage of outstanding shares held by the insiders is 26.41% while it is 86.92% for the institutional holders. The figures also indicate that as of 2024-09-30, number of stock’s short shares was 36.49 million which implies a short ratio of 7.68. This shows down a 3521.00 of Short Interest in company’s outstanding shares on the day. In September the standing of shares short improved as it was 41.15 million in the previous month. Subtraction of -76.25% by stock’s current price to its year-to-date value in last trading session is likely to be increasing investors’ interest in the stock as it is hinting an extended uptrend.

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