Making Sense Of Netflix Inc.’s (NASDAQ:NFLX) Volatility

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The trading price of Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) closed lower on current market day and closing at $701.92, -2.47% lower than its previous close.

Traders who pay close attention to intraday price movement should know that it fluctuated between $696.55 and $715.22. The company’s P/E ratio in the trailing 12-month period was 43.86, while its 5Y monthly beta was 1.261. In examining the 52-week price action we see that the stock hit a 52-week high of $725.26 and a 52-week low of $344.73. Over the past month, the stock has gained 5.43% in value.

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Netflix Inc., whose market valuation is $301.24 billion at the time of this writing, is expected to release its quarterly earnings report in November. Investors’ optimism about the company’s current quarter earnings report is understandable. Analysts have predicted the quarterly earnings per share to grow by 5.11 per share this quarter, however they have predicted annual earnings per share of 19.11 for current year and 23.0 for next year.

Analysts have forecast the company to bring in revenue of 9.76B for the current quarter, with the likely lows of 9.62B and highs of 9.88B. From the analysts’ viewpoint, the consensus estimate for the company’s annual revenue is 38.71B.

On the technical side, indicators suggest NFLX has a 50% Buy on average for the short term. According to the data of the stock’s medium term indicators, the stock is currently averaging as a 100% Buy, while an average of long term indicators suggests that the stock is currently 100% Buy.

Here is the average analyst rating on the stock as represented by 1.00 to 5.00, with the extremes of 1.00 and 5.00 suggesting the stock should be considered as either strong buy or strong sell respectively. The number of analysts that have assigned NFLX a recommendation rating is 42. Out of them, 14 rate it a Hold, while 25 recommend Buy, whereas 1 assign an Overweight rating. 0 analyst(s) have tagged Netflix Inc. (NFLX) as Underweight, while 2 advise Sell. Analysts have rated the stock Buy, likely urging investors to take advantage of the opportunity to add to their holdings of the company’s shares.

If we dig deeper into the stock’s outlook, we see that the stock’s PEG is 1.60, which symbolizes a positive outlook. A quick review shows that NFLX’s price is currently 0.03% off the SMA20 and 3.92% off the SMA50. The RSI metric on the 14-day chart is currently showing 51.78, and weekly volatility stands at 2.03%. When measured over the past 30 days, the indicator reaches 2.11%. Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX)’s beta value is currently sitting at 1.26, while the Average True Range indicator is currently displaying 15.91. With analysts defining $162-$800 as the low and high price targets, we arrive at a consensus price target of $635 for the trailing 12-month period. The current price is about 76.92% off the estimated low and -13.97% off the forecast high, based on this estimate. Investors will be thrilled if NFLX’s share price rises to $635, which is the median consensus price. At that level, NFLX’s share price would be 9.53% above current price.

To see how Netflix Inc. stock has been performing in comparison to its peers in the industry, here are the numbers: NFLX stock’s performance was -2.47% in the latest trading, and 88.39% in the past year. Netflix Inc. has a P/E ratio of 43.86.

An evaluation of the daily trading volume of Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) indicates that the 3-month average is 3.14 million. However, this figure has increased over the past 10 days to an average of 2.52.

Currently, records show that 432.76 million of the company’s shares remain outstanding. The insiders hold 0.66% of outstanding shares, whereas institutions hold 83.13%. The stats also highlight that short interest as of 2024-09-13, stood at 7.89 million shares, resulting in a short ratio of 2.89 at that time. From this, we can conclude that short interest is 185.00 of the company’s total outstanding shares. It is noteworthy that short shares in September were up slightly from the previous month’s figure, which was 7.4 million. However, since the stock’s price has seen 44.17% year-to-date, investors’ interest is likely to be reignited due to its potential to move even higher.

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