Vale S.A. ADR (NYSE: VALE) Stock Forecast: Bearish Sentiment Points To -62.66% Downside In 2024

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The trading price of Vale S.A. ADR (NYSE:VALE) closed lower on current market day and closing at $11.45, -0.26% lower than its previous close.

Traders who pay close attention to intraday price movement should know that it fluctuated between $11.4 and $11.54. The company’s P/E ratio in the trailing 12-month period was 5.06, while its 5Y monthly beta was 0.909. In examining the 52-week price action we see that the stock hit a 52-week high of $15.50 and a 52-week low of $9.66. Over the past month, the stock has gained 11.82% in value.

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Vale S.A. ADR, whose market valuation is $48.90 billion at the time of this writing, is expected to release its quarterly earnings report in November. Investors’ optimism about the company’s current quarter earnings report is understandable. Analysts have predicted the quarterly earnings per share to grow by 0.54 per share this quarter, however they have predicted annual earnings per share of 2.17 for current year and 2.15 for next year.

Analysts have forecast the company to bring in revenue of 10.18B for the current quarter, with the likely lows of 9.56B and highs of 10.76B. From the analysts’ viewpoint, the consensus estimate for the company’s annual revenue is 39.62B.

On the technical side, indicators suggest VALE has a Hold on average for the short term. According to the data of the stock’s medium term indicators, the stock is currently averaging as a 50% Sell, while an average of long term indicators suggests that the stock is currently 50% Sell.

Here is the average analyst rating on the stock as represented by 1.00 to 5.00, with the extremes of 1.00 and 5.00 suggesting the stock should be considered as either strong buy or strong sell respectively. The number of analysts that have assigned VALE a recommendation rating is 11. Out of them, 2 rate it a Hold, while 9 recommend Buy, whereas 0 assign an Overweight rating. 0 analyst(s) have tagged Vale S.A. ADR (VALE) as Underweight, while 0 advise Sell. Analysts have rated the stock Buy, likely urging investors to take advantage of the opportunity to add to their holdings of the company’s shares.

A quick review shows that VALE’s price is currently 5.52% off the SMA20 and 8.64% off the SMA50. The RSI metric on the 14-day chart is currently showing 60.80, and weekly volatility stands at 1.96%. When measured over the past 30 days, the indicator reaches 1.93%. Vale S.A. ADR (NYSE:VALE)’s beta value is currently sitting at 0.94, while the Average True Range indicator is currently displaying 0.29. With analysts defining $12.7-$26 as the low and high price targets, we arrive at a consensus price target of $18.62 for the trailing 12-month period. The current price is about -10.92% off the estimated low and -127.07% off the forecast high, based on this estimate. Investors will be thrilled if VALE’s share price rises to $18.625, which is the median consensus price. At that level, VALE’s share price would be -62.66% below current price.

To see how Vale S.A. ADR stock has been performing in comparison to its peers in the industry, here are the numbers: VALE stock’s performance was -0.26% in the latest trading, and -6.01% in the past year. Vale S.A. ADR has a P/E ratio of 5.06.

An evaluation of the daily trading volume of Vale S.A. ADR (NYSE:VALE) indicates that the 3-month average is 29.92 million. However, this figure has increased over the past 10 days to an average of 40.53.

Currently, records show that 4.30 billion of the company’s shares remain outstanding. The insiders hold 0.00% of outstanding shares, whereas institutions hold 15.29%. The stats also highlight that short interest as of 2024-09-13, stood at 63.06 million shares, resulting in a short ratio of 2.3 at that time. From this, we can conclude that short interest is 148.00 of the company’s total outstanding shares. It is noteworthy that short shares in September were down slightly from the previous month’s figure, which was 67.77 million. However, since the stock’s price has seen -25.12% year-to-date, investors’ interest is likely to be reignited due to its potential to move even lower.

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