Analysts Think Incyte Corp. (NASDAQ: INCY) Could Fall -52.81% From Current Levels

Incyte Corp. (NASDAQ:INCY) price closed higher on current market day and jumping 2.97% above its previous close.

A look at the daily price movement shows that the last close reads $66.10, with intraday deals fluctuated between $65.99 and $68.17. The company’s 5Y monthly beta was ticking 0.735 while its P/E ratio in the trailing 12-month period read 191.77. Taking into account the 52-week price action we note that the stock hit a 52-week high of $70.36 and 52-week low of $50.27. The stock added 3.66% on its value in the past month.

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Incyte Corp., which has a market valuation of $13.11 billion, is expected to release its quarterly earnings report in November.

On average, analysts have forecast the company’s revenue for the quarter will hit 1.08B, with the likely lows of 1.06B and highs of 1.1B. The average estimate suggests sales growth for the quarter will likely rise by 11.70% when compared to those recorded in the same quarter in the last financial year. Staying with the analyst view, there is a consensus estimate of 4.15B for the company’s annual revenue in current year. Per this projection, the revenue is forecast to grow 12.20% above that which the company brought in the current year earning report.

Technical indicators in stocks provide crucial insights into market trends, guiding investors with precise entry and exit points based on price movements for informed decision-making.On the technical perspective front, indicators give INCY a short term outlook of 100% Buy on average. Looking at the stock’s medium term indicators we note that it is averaging as a 100% Buy, while an average of long term indicators are currently assigning the stock as 100% Buy.

Here is a look at the average analyst rating for the stock as represented on a scale of 1.00 to 5.00, with the extremes of 1.00 and 5.00 suggesting the stock is strong buy or strong sell respectively. Specifically, 12 analysts have assigned INCY a recommendation rating as follows: 5 rate it as a Hold; 7 advise Buy while 0 analyst(s) assign an Overweight rating. 0 analyst(s) have tagged the Incyte Corp. (INCY) stock as Underweight, with 0 recommending Sell. In general, analysts have rated the stock Buy, a scenario likely to bolster investors out for an opportunity to add to their holdings of the company’s shares.

If we dive deeper into the stock’s performance we see the positive picture represented by the PEG ratio, currently standing at 6.08. The overview shows that INCY’s price is at present 5.60% off the SMA20 and 5.82% from the SMA50. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) metric on the 14-day timeframe is pointing at 62.78, with weekly volatility standing at 2.93%. The indicator jumps to 3.00% when calculated based on the past 30 days. Incyte Corp. (NASDAQ:INCY)’s beta value is holding at 0.74, while the average true range (ATR) indicator is currently reading 1.85. Considering analysts have assigned the stock a price target range of $48-$104 as the low and high respectively, we find the trailing 12-month average consensus price target to be $75.5. Based on this estimate, we see that current price is roughly 29.47% off the estimated low and -52.81% off the forecast high. Investors will no doubt be excited to see the share price fall to $75.5, which is the median consensus price, and at that level INCY would be -10.93% from current price.

An analysis of the Incyte Corp. (NASDAQ:INCY) stock in terms of its daily trading volume indicates that the 3-month average is 2.09 million. However, this figure increases on the past 10-day timeline to an average of 2.62 million.

Current records show that the company has 224.29M in outstanding shares. The insiders’ percentage holdings are 1.21% of outstanding shares while the percentage share held by institutions stands at 104.60%. The stats also highlight that short interest as of 2024-09-13, stood at 9.64 million shares, which puts the short ratio at the time at 5.41. From this we can glean that short interest is 890.00 of company’s current outstanding shares. Notably, we see that shares short in September fall slightly given the previous month’s figure stood at 11.76 million. But the 8.39% upside, the stock’s price has registered year-to-date as of last trading, will likely reignite investor interest given the prospect of it rallying even higher.

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