Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc. (NYSE: BXMT) Stock: Up 39.90% Since Low, This Stock Is Just Getting Warmed Up

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc. (NYSE:BXMT) price closed lower on Monday, September 18, dropping -0.85% below its previous close.

A look at the daily price movement shows that the last close reads $23.43, with intraday deals fluctuated between $22.86 and $23.67. The company’s 5Y monthly beta was ticking 1.40 while its P/E ratio in the trailing 12-month period read 15.56. Taking into account the 52-week price action we note that the stock hit a 52-week high of $29.13 and 52-week low of $16.60. The stock added 11.74% on its value in the past month.

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc., which has a market valuation of $3.93 billion, is expected to release its quarterly earnings report Oct 24, 2023 – Oct 30, 2023. The company stock has a Forward Dividend ratio of 2.48, while the dividend yield is 10.68%. It is understandable that investor optimism is growing ahead of the company’s current quarter results. Analysts tracking BXMT have forecast the quarterly EPS to grow by 0.7 per share this quarter, while the same analysts predict the annual EPS to hit $2.93 for the year 2023 and up to $2.54 for 2024. In this case, analysts estimate an annual EPS growth of 2.10% for the year and -13.30% for the next year.

On average, analysts have forecast the company’s revenue for the quarter will hit $161.05 million, with the likely lows of $137 million and highs of $181 million. The average estimate suggests sales growth for the quarter will likely rise by 10.00% when compared to those recorded in the same quarter in the last financial year. Staying with the analyst view, there is a consensus estimate of $678.05 million for the company’s annual revenue in 2023. Per this projection, the revenue is forecast to grow 8.00% above that which the company brought in 2023.

Revisions to the company’s EPS highlights a short term direction of a stock’s price movement, which in the last 7 days came up with no upward and no downward reviews. On the technical perspective front, indicators give BXMT a short term outlook of 100% Buy on average. Looking at the stock’s medium term indicators we note that it is averaging as a 100% Buy, while an average of long term indicators are currently assigning the stock as 50% Buy.

Here is a look at the average analyst rating for the stock as represented on a scale of 1.00 to 5.00, with the extremes of 1.00 and 5.00 suggesting the stock is strong buy or strong sell respectively. Specifically, 9 analysts have assigned BXMT a recommendation rating as follows: 6 rate it as a Hold; 3 advise Buy while 0 analyst(s) assign an Overweight rating. 0 analyst(s) have tagged the Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc. (BXMT) stock as Underweight, with 0 recommending Sell. In general, analysts have rated the stock Overweight, a scenario likely to bolster investors out for an opportunity to add to their holdings of the company’s shares.

If we dive deeper into the stock’s performance we see the positive picture represented by the PEG ratio, currently standing at 7.17. The overview shows that BXMT’s price is at present 4.84% off the SMA20 and 4.55% from the SMA50. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) metric on the 14-day timeframe is pointing at 61.57, with weekly volatility standing at 2.61%. The indicator jumps to 2.24% when calculated based on the past 30 days. Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc. (NYSE:BXMT)’s beta value is holding at 1.39, while the average true range (ATR) indicator is currently reading 0.56. Considering analysts have assigned the stock a price target range of $21.00-$24.00 as the low and high respectively, we find the trailing 12-month average consensus price target to be $22.93. Based on this estimate, we see that current price is roughly 9.6% off the estimated low and -3.31% off the forecast high. Investors will no doubt be excited to see the share price rise to $23.00, which is the median consensus price, and at that level BXMT would be 0.99% from current price.

Turning out attention to how the Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc. stock has performed in comparison to its peers in the industry, here’s what we find: BXMT’s stock is -0.85% on the day and -18.89% in the past 12 months, while Starwood Property Trust Inc. (STWD) traded -0.96% in the last session and was positioned -9.37% down on its price 12 months ago. Also, Arbor Realty Trust Inc. (ABR) showed down trend of -0.75% while its price kept floating at 7.79% over the past year. As for Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc., the P/E ratio stands at 15.56 higher than that of Starwood Property Trust Inc.’s at 11.82. Elsewhere in the market, the S&P 500 Index has rallied 0.06% in last trading session, with the Dow Jones Industrial also saw a negative session on the day with -0.06%.

An analysis of the Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc. (NYSE:BXMT) stock in terms of its daily trading volume indicates that the 3-month average is 2.82 million. However, this figure increases on the past 10-day timeline to an average of 6.82 million.

Current records show that the company has 172.62M in outstanding shares. The insiders’ percentage holdings are 0.80% of outstanding shares while the percentage share held by institutions stands at 56.00%. The stats also highlight that short interest as of Aug 30, 2023, stood at 20.63 million shares, which puts the short ratio at the time at 12.67. From this we can glean that short interest is 11.97% of company’s current outstanding shares. Notably, we see that shares short in August fall slightly given the previous month’s figure stood at 22.98 million. But the 9.73% upside, the stock’s price has registered year-to-date as of last trading, will likely reignite investor interest given the prospect of it rallying even higher.