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Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (SPCE) Rises From The Low: Could It Be A Catbird Seat?

Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (NYSE:SPCE) concluded the trading at $2.05 on Friday, September 15 with a rise of 3.02% from its closing price on previous day.

Taking a look at stock we notice that its last check on previous day was $1.99 and 5Y monthly beta was reading 1.46 with its price kept floating in the range of $1.99 and $2.09 on the day. Considering stock’s 52-week price range provides that SPCE hit a high price of $6.61 and saw its price falling to a low level of $1.86 during that period. Over a period of past 1-month, stock came subtracting -25.99% in its value.

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With its current market valuation of $769.06 million, Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. is set to declare its quarterly results on Nov 01, 2023 – Nov 06, 2023. Analysts are in estimates of -$0.42 per share for company’s earnings in the current quarter and are expecting its annual EPS growth moving up to -$1.88 for 2023 with estimates of that growing to -$1.43 in next year. These estimates are suggesting current year growth of 0.50% for EPS and 23.90% growth next year.

Analysts watching the company’s growth closely have provided estimates for its revenue growth with an average revenue estimate of $1.12 million. They suggested that in the process company could generate revenue of as low as $1 million which could climb up to $1.5 million to hit a high. The average estimate is representing an increase of 46.00% in sales growth from that of posted by the company in the same quarter of last year. In keeping analyst consensus estimate with, company is forecasted to be making an annual revenue of $4.92 million in 2023, which will be 112.80% more from revenue generated by the company last year.

In last 7 days, analysts came adjusting their opinions about stock’s EPS with no upward and no downward revisions, an indication which could give clearer idea about the company’s short term price movement. In contrast, when we review SPCE stock’s current outlook then short term indicators are assigning it an average of 100% Sell, while medium term indicators are categorizing the stock at an average of 100% Sell. Long term indicators are suggesting an average of 100% Sell for it.

According to ratings assigned by 12 analysts at the scale of 1 to 5 with 1.00 representing a strong buy and 5.00 suggesting a strong sell; 6 of them are recommending Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (SPCE) as a Hold, while 2 are in view that stock is a Buy. Recommendation by 3 analysts for the stock is an Underweight while number of those analysts who rated the stock as an Overweight is 0, whereas 1 of them are considering the stock as a Sell. When taken as whole, stock gets a rating of Overweight and that encourages the investors to exploit the opportunity and build their stake up in the company.

Digging deeper we become aware of the PEG ratio of the SPCE stock which is currently positioned at 0. It further provides that stock’s current price level is -17.49% away from its 20-day simple moving average and is -36.05% off its SMA50. Its relative strength index (RSI) for 14-periods is oscillating at 27.84 while volatility remained at 9.02% over the past week which changes to 7.23% when measuring it over the past month. Beta is valued at 1.19, while measure of average true range or ATR is currently at 0.19. In predicting price targets of as low as $2.50 and as high as $8.00, analysts are in agreement on assigning the stock over the next 12 months average price target of $4.39. Stock’s current price level is -21.95% above from estimated low price target while it is -290.24% below the estimated high; and even if the SPCE’s share succeeded to reach the median price of $3.75, then the outlook of -82.93% could come to the excitement of the investors.

In comparing Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (SPCE)’s stock with other industry players reveals that stock’s current price change of 3.02% and that of -63.13% over the past 12 months is in competing position with that of RTX Corporation (RTX) which saw its stock price raised by 0.40% in the last trading and went through a decrease of -12.27% in past 12-month trading. Industry’s another major player The Boeing Company (BA) has fall -0.45% down in previous session, but over the past year has faced a rise of 39.43%, while AAR Corp. (AIR) was also up 0.17% however its price remained floating in the green at 45.63% over the same period. Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. has a P/E ratio of 0 against that of RTX Corporation’s 20.10. On the other hand, the S&P 500 Index was down -1.22% in the last trading session while the Dow Jones Industrial closed the session lower at -0.83%.

Having a second look at Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (NYSE:SPCE) provides that stock’s average daily trading volume for 3 months was 25.11 million, while it jumped to 15.77 million when we calculate an average volume for past 10 days. Number of outstanding shares of the stock stood at 367.14 million.

The percentage of outstanding shares held by the insiders is 0.70% while it is 37.00% for the institutional holders. The figures also indicate that as of Aug 30, 2023, number of stock’s short shares was 63.29 million which implies a short ratio of 3.99. This shows up a 17.24% of Short Interest in company’s outstanding shares on the day. In August the standing of shares short improved as it was 59.27 million in the previous month. Subtraction of -41.09% by stock’s current price to its year-to-date value in last trading session is likely to be increasing investors’ interest in the stock as it is hinting an extended uptrend.