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Can Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (NYSE: SPCE) Be A Safe Investment Now?

Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (NYSE:SPCE) shares, rose in value on Thursday, 05/25/23, with the stock price down by -8.16% to the previous day’s close as strong demand from buyers drove the stock to $4.05.

Actively observing the price movement in the last trading, the stock closed the session at $4.41, falling within a range of $3.98 and $4.72. The value of beta (5-year monthly) was 1.36. Referring to stock’s 52-week performance, its high was $8.56, and the low was $2.98. On the whole, SPCE has fluctuated by 26.96% over the past month.

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With the market capitalization of Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. currently standing at about $1.18 billion, investors are eagerly awaiting this quarter’s results, scheduled for Aug 02, 2023 – Aug 07, 2023. As a result, investors might want to see an improvement in the stock’s price before the company announces its earnings report. Analysts are projecting the company’s earnings per share (EPS) to be -$0.52, which is expected to increase to -$0.31 for fiscal year -$1.95 and then to about -$1.63 by fiscal year 2024. Data indicates that the EPS growth is expected to be -3.20% in 2024, while the next year’s EPS growth is forecast to be 16.40%.

Analysts have estimated the company’s revenue for the quarter at $2.49 million, with a low estimate of $1 million and a high estimate of $7 million. According to the average forecast, sales growth in current quarter could jump up 597.50%, compared to the corresponding quarter of last year. Wall Street analysts also predicted that in 2024, the company’s y-o-y revenues would reach $11.55 million, representing an increase of 399.60% from the revenues reported in the last year’s results.

Revisions could be a useful indicator to get insight on short-term price movement; so for the company, there were no upward and no downward review(s) in last seven days. We see that SPCE’s technical picture suggests that short-term indicators denote the stock is a 50% Sell on average. However, medium term indicators have put the stock in the category of 50% Sell while long term indicators on average have been pointing out that it is a 100% Sell.

13 analyst(s) have assigned their ratings of the stock’s forecast evaluation on a scale of 1.00-5.00 to indicate a strong buy to a strong sell recommendation. The stock is rated as a Hold by 5 analyst(s), 2 recommend it as a Buy and 0 called the SPCE stock Overweight. In the meantime, 3 analyst(s) believe the stock as Underweight and 3 think it is a Sell. Thus, investors eager to increase their holdings of the company’s stock will have an opportunity to do so as the average rating for the stock is Hold.

The stock’s technical analysis shows that the PEG ratio is about 0, with the price of SPCE currently trading nearly 0.15% and 5.00% away from the simple moving averages for 20 and 50 days respectively. The Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14) currently indicates a reading of 48.92, while the 7-day volatility ratio is showing 12.14% which for the 30-day chart, stands at 9.39%. Furthermore, Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (SPCE)’s beta value is 1.05, and its average true range (ATR) is 0.40. The company’s stock has been forecasted to trade at an average price of $4.20 over the course of the next 52 weeks, with a low of $2.00 and a high of $8.00. Based on these price targets, the low is 50.62% off current price, whereas the price has to move -97.53% to reach the yearly target high. Additionally, analysts’ median price of $3.38 is likely to be welcomed by investors because it represents an increase of 16.54% from the current levels.

A comparison of Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (SPCE) with its peers suggests the former has fared considerably weaker in the market. SPCE showed an intraday change of -8.16% in last session, and over the past year, it shrunk by -34.47%%. In comparison, Raytheon Technologies Corporation (RTX) has moved lower at -0.58% on the day and was down -0.10% over the past 12 months. On the other hand, the price of The Boeing Company (BA) has risen 0.80% on the day. The stock, however, is off 68.23% from where it was a year ago. Additionally, there is a loss of -1.35% for AAR Corp. (AIR) in last trading while the stock has seen an overall depriciation of 11.30%% over the past year. Other than that, the overall performance of the S&P 500 during the last trading session shows that it gained 0.88%. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Slipped by -0.11%.

Data on historical trading for Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (NYSE:SPCE) indicates that the trading volumes over the past 10 days have averaged 13.02 million and over the past 3 months, they’ve averaged 9.30 million. According to company’s latest data on outstanding shares, there are 278.45 million shares outstanding.

Nearly 0.70% of Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc.’s shares belong to company insiders and institutional investors own 37.00% of the company’s shares. The data on short interest also indicates that stock shorts accounted for 53.62 million shares as on Apr 27, 2023, resulting in a short ratio of 6.13. According to the data, the short interest in Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (SPCE) stood at 19.04% of shares outstanding as of Apr 27, 2023; the number of short shares registered in Mar 30, 2023 reached 59.84 million. The stock has risen by 16.38% since the beginning of the year, thereby showing the potential of a further growth. This could raise investors’ confidence to be optimistic about the SPCE stock heading into the next quarter.

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