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Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI): What’s Next In 2023?

Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI) shares, rose in value on Wednesday, 05/24/23, with the stock price up by 3.53% to the previous day’s close as strong demand from buyers drove the stock to $167.62.

Actively observing the price movement in the last trading, the stock closed the session at $161.91, falling within a range of $158.26 and $167.92. The PE ratio was 15.80 over 12-month period. Referring to stock’s 52-week performance, its high was $171.67, and the low was $37.01. On the whole, SMCI has fluctuated by 79.70% over the past month.

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With the market capitalization of Super Micro Computer Inc. currently standing at about $8.82 billion, investors are eagerly awaiting this quarter’s results, scheduled for May 02, 2023. As a result, investors might want to see an improvement in the stock’s price before the company announces its earnings report. Analysts are projecting the company’s earnings per share (EPS) to be $2.43, which is expected to increase to $3.48 for fiscal year $10.73 and then to about $10.93 by fiscal year 2024. Data indicates that the EPS growth is expected to be 89.90% in 2024, while the next year’s EPS growth is forecast to be 1.90%.

Analysts have estimated the company’s revenue for the quarter at $1.79 billion, with a low estimate of $1.71 billion and a high estimate of $1.85 billion. According to the average forecast, sales growth in current quarter could jump up 9.40%, compared to the corresponding quarter of last year. Wall Street analysts also predicted that in 2024, the company’s y-o-y revenues would reach $6.73 billion, representing an increase of 29.50% from the revenues reported in the last year’s results.

Revisions could be a useful indicator to get insight on short-term price movement; so for the company, there were no upward and no downward review(s) in last seven days. We see that SMCI’s technical picture suggests that short-term indicators denote the stock is a 100% Buy on average. However, medium term indicators have put the stock in the category of 100% Buy while long term indicators on average have been pointing out that it is a 100% Buy.

6 analyst(s) have assigned their ratings of the stock’s forecast evaluation on a scale of 1.00-5.00 to indicate a strong buy to a strong sell recommendation. The stock is rated as a Hold by 1 analyst(s), 4 recommend it as a Buy and 0 called the SMCI stock Overweight. In the meantime, 0 analyst(s) believe the stock as Underweight and 1 think it is a Sell. Thus, investors eager to increase their holdings of the company’s stock will have an opportunity to do so as the average rating for the stock is Overweight.

The stock’s technical analysis shows that the PEG ratio is about 1.58, with the price of SMCI currently trading nearly 24.92% and 43.39% away from the simple moving averages for 20 and 50 days respectively. The Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14) currently indicates a reading of 78.06, while the 7-day volatility ratio is showing 5.68% which for the 30-day chart, stands at 5.86%. Furthermore, Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI)’s beta value is 1.15, and its average true range (ATR) is 7.89. The company’s stock has been forecasted to trade at an average price of $181.67 over the course of the next 52 weeks, with a low of $65.00 and a high of $400.00. Based on these price targets, the low is 61.22% off current price, whereas the price has to move -138.64% to reach the yearly target high. Additionally, analysts’ median price of $167.50 is likely to be welcomed by investors because it represents an increase of 0.07% from the current levels.

A comparison of Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) with its peers suggests the former has fared considerably weaker in the market. SMCI showed an intraday change of 3.53% in last session, and over the past year, it grew by 239.79%%. In comparison, HP Inc. (HPQ) has moved lower at -1.83% on the day and was down -14.43% over the past 12 months. On the other hand, the price of Intel Corporation (INTC) has fallen -1.73% on the day. The stock, however, is off -30.95% from where it was a year ago. Additionally, there is a loss of -0.58% for Digi International Inc. (DGII) in last trading while the stock has seen an overall depriciation of 52.68%% over the past year. The PE ratio stands at 15.80 for Super Micro Computer Inc., compared to 11.95 for HP Inc. Other than that, the overall performance of the S&P 500 during the last trading session shows that it lost -0.73%. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Slipped by -0.77%.

Data on historical trading for Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI) indicates that the trading volumes over the past 10 days have averaged 1.87 million and over the past 3 months, they’ve averaged 1.73 million. According to company’s latest data on outstanding shares, there are 53.28 million shares outstanding.

Nearly 12.80% of Super Micro Computer Inc.’s shares belong to company insiders and institutional investors own 74.30% of the company’s shares. The data on short interest also indicates that stock shorts accounted for 5.52 million shares as on Apr 27, 2023, resulting in a short ratio of 3.5. According to the data, the short interest in Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) stood at 10.52% of shares outstanding as of Apr 27, 2023; the number of short shares registered in Mar 30, 2023 reached 4.94 million. The stock has risen by 104.17% since the beginning of the year, thereby showing the potential of a further growth. This could raise investors’ confidence to be optimistic about the SMCI stock heading into the next quarter.

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