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Kosmos Energy Ltd. (NYSE: KOS): A Blank Check?

Kosmos Energy Ltd. (NYSE:KOS) shares, rose in value on Thursday, May 25, with the stock price down by -4.07% to the previous day’s close as strong demand from buyers drove the stock to $6.24.

Actively observing the price movement in the recent trading, the stock is buoying the session at $6.51, falling within a range of $6.425 and $6.64. The value of beta (5-year monthly) is 2.81 whereas the PE ratio is 10.24 over 12-month period. Referring to stock’s 52-week performance, its high was $8.55, and the low was $4.64. On the whole, KOS has fluctuated by 1.71% over the past month.

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With the market capitalization of Kosmos Energy Ltd. currently standing at about $2.97 billion, investors are eagerly awaiting this quarter’s results, scheduled for May 09, 2023. As a result, investors might want to see an improvement in the stock’s price before the company announces its earnings report. Analysts are projecting the company’s earnings per share (EPS) to be $0.11, which is expected to increase to $0.29 for fiscal year $0.81 and then to about $1.06 by fiscal year 2024. Data indicates that the EPS growth is expected to be -19.00% in 2024, while the next year’s EPS growth is forecast to be 30.90%.

Analysts have estimated the company’s revenue for the quarter at $295.52 million, with a low estimate of $280 million and a high estimate of $319.36 million. According to the average forecast, sales growth in current quarter could jump down -52.40%, compared to the corresponding quarter of last year. Wall Street analysts also predicted that in 2024, the company’s y-o-y revenues would reach $1.88 billion, representing a decrease of -18.10% from the revenues reported in the last year’s results.

Revisions could be a useful indicator to get insight on short-term price movement; so for the company, there were no upward and no downward review(s) in last seven days. We see that KOS’s technical picture suggests that short-term indicators denote the stock is a 100% Sell on average. However, medium term indicators have put the stock in the category of 50% Sell while long term indicators on average have been pointing out that it is a 50% Sell.

The stock’s technical analysis shows that the PEG ratio is about 0.43, with the price of KOS currently trading nearly -0.14% and -7.63% away from the simple moving averages for 20 and 50 days respectively. The Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14) currently indicates a reading of 43.96, while the 7-day volatility ratio is showing 3.67% which for the 30-day chart, stands at 4.46%. Furthermore, Kosmos Energy Ltd. (KOS)’s beta value is 2.80, and its average true range (ATR) is 0.28.

Data on historical trading for Kosmos Energy Ltd. (NYSE:KOS) indicates that the trading volumes over the past 10 days have averaged 4.13 million and over the past 3 months, they’ve averaged 5.53 million. According to company’s latest data on outstanding shares, there are 458.32 million shares outstanding.

Nearly 2.14% of Kosmos Energy Ltd.’s shares belong to company insiders and institutional investors own 94.20% of the company’s shares. The data on short interest also indicates that stock shorts accounted for 22.59 million shares as on May 14, 2023, resulting in a short ratio of 4.54. According to the data, the short interest in Kosmos Energy Ltd. (KOS) stood at 4.91% of shares outstanding as of May 14, 2023; the number of short shares registered in Apr 13, 2023 reached 22.25 million. The stock has fallen by -1.81% since the beginning of the year, thereby showing the potential of a further growth. This could raise investors’ confidence to be optimistic about the KOS stock heading into the next quarter.

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