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What’s The Deal With Etsy Inc. (NASDAQ: ETSY)?

The trading price of Etsy Inc. (NASDAQ:ETSY) closed lower on Tuesday, May 23, closing at $88.03, -2.21% lower than its previous close.

Traders who pay close attention to intraday price movement should know that it fluctuated between $87.92 and $90.775. In examining the 52-week price action we see that the stock hit a 52-week high of $149.91 and a 52-week low of $67.01. Over the past month, the stock has lost -14.40% in value.

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Etsy Inc., whose market valuation is $11.26 billion at the time of this writing, is expected to release its quarterly earnings report Jul 25, 2023 – Jul 31, 2023. Investors’ optimism about the company’s current quarter earnings report is understandable. Analysts have predicted the quarterly earnings per share to grow by $0.42 per share this quarter, however they have predicted annual earnings per share of $2.43 for 2023 and $3.1 for 2024. It means analysts are expecting annual earnings per share growth of 144.30% this year and 27.60% next year.

Analysts have forecast the company to bring in revenue of $620.52 million for the current quarter, with the likely lows of $590 million and highs of $642.1 million. The average estimate suggests sales will likely up by 6.00% this quarter compared to what was recorded in the comparable quarter last year. From the analysts’ viewpoint, the consensus estimate for the company’s annual revenue in 2023 is $2.77 billion. The company’s revenue is forecast to grow by 7.80% over what it did in 2023.

A company’s earnings reviews provide a brief indication of a stock’s direction in the short term, where in the case of Etsy Inc. No upward and no downward comments were posted in the last 7 days. On the technical side, indicators suggest ETSY has a 100% Sell on average for the short term. According to the data of the stock’s medium term indicators, the stock is currently averaging as a 100% Sell, while an average of long term indicators suggests that the stock is currently 50% Sell.

Here is the average analyst rating on the stock as represented by 1.00 to 5.00, with the extremes of 1.00 and 5.00 suggesting the stock should be considered as either strong buy or strong sell respectively. The number of analysts that have assigned ETSY a recommendation rating is 31. Out of them, 13 rate it a Hold, while 12 recommend Buy, whereas 4 assign an Overweight rating. 0 analyst(s) have tagged Etsy Inc. (ETSY) as Underweight, while 2 advise Sell. Analysts have rated the stock Overweight, likely urging investors to take advantage of the opportunity to add to their holdings of the company’s shares.

A quick review shows that ETSY’s price is currently -7.48% off the SMA20 and -13.06% off the SMA50. The RSI metric on the 14-day chart is currently showing 36.06, and weekly volatility stands at 4.28%. When measured over the past 30 days, the indicator reaches 4.32%. Etsy Inc. (NASDAQ:ETSY)’s beta value is currently sitting at 1.99, while the Average True Range indicator is currently displaying 4.14. With analysts defining $46.00-$170.00 as the low and high price targets, we arrive at a consensus price target of $119.13 for the trailing 12-month period. The current price is about 47.75% off the estimated low and -93.12% off the forecast high, based on this estimate. Investors will be thrilled if ETSY’s share price rises to $120.00, which is the median consensus price. At that level, ETSY’s share price would be -36.32% below current price.

To see how Etsy Inc. stock has been performing in comparison to its peers in the industry, here are the numbers: ETSY stock’s performance was -2.21% in the latest trading, and 12.37% in the past year, while Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) has traded -0.02% on the day and positioned 6.88% higher than it was a year ago. Another comparable company Walmart Inc. (WMT) saw its stock close -0.19% lower in the most recent trading session but was up 24.42% in a year. Also in last trading session, the S&P 500 Index has plunged -1.12%, while the Dow Jones Industrial also saw a negative session, down -0.69% on the day.

An evaluation of the daily trading volume of Etsy Inc. (NASDAQ:ETSY) indicates that the 3-month average is 3.53 million. However, this figure has increased over the past 10 days to an average of 3.49 million.

Currently, records show that 124.34 million of the company’s shares remain outstanding. The insiders hold 0.60% of outstanding shares, whereas institutions hold 101.74%. The stats also highlight that short interest as of Apr 27, 2023, stood at 14.2 million shares, resulting in a short ratio of 5.54 at that time. From this, we can conclude that short interest is 11.51% of the company’s total outstanding shares. It is noteworthy that short shares in April were down slightly from the previous month’s figure, which was 16.53 million. However, since the stock’s price has seen -26.51% year-to-date, investors’ interest is likely to be reignited due to its potential to move even lower.

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