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Making Sense Of The Macerich Company’s (NYSE:MAC) Volatility

The trading price of The Macerich Company (NYSE:MAC) floating lower at last check on Wednesday, May 24, closing at $9.51, -2.06% lower than its previous close.

Traders who pay close attention to intraday price movement should know that it has been fluctuating between $9.695 and $10.22. In examining the 52-week price action we see that the stock hit a 52-week high of $14.51 and a 52-week low of $7.38. Over the past month, the stock has lost -0.63% in value.

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The Macerich Company, whose market valuation is $2.03 billion at the time of this writing, is expected to release its quarterly earnings report Jul 26, 2023 – Jul 31, 2023. The dividend yield on the company stock is 7.00%, while its Forward Dividend ratio is 0.68. Investors’ optimism about the company’s current quarter earnings report is understandable. Analysts have predicted the quarterly earnings per share to grow by -$0.09 per share this quarter, however they have predicted annual earnings per share of -$0.25 for 2023 and -$0.12 for 2024. It means analysts are expecting annual earnings per share growth of 19.40% this year and 52.00% next year.

Analysts have forecast the company to bring in revenue of $205.81 million for the current quarter, with the likely lows of $196.29 million and highs of $217.1 million. The average estimate suggests sales will likely up by 0.80% this quarter compared to what was recorded in the comparable quarter last year. From the analysts’ viewpoint, the consensus estimate for the company’s annual revenue in 2023 is $822.59 million. The company’s revenue is forecast to drop by -4.30% over what it did in 2023.

A company’s earnings reviews provide a brief indication of a stock’s direction in the short term, where in the case of The Macerich Company 1 upward and no downward comments were posted in the last 7 days. On the technical side, indicators suggest MAC has a 100% Sell on average for the short term. According to the data of the stock’s medium term indicators, the stock is currently averaging as a 100% Sell, while an average of long term indicators suggests that the stock is currently 50% Sell.

Here is the average analyst rating on the stock as represented by 1.00 to 5.00, with the extremes of 1.00 and 5.00 suggesting the stock should be considered as either strong buy or strong sell respectively. The number of analysts that have assigned MAC a recommendation rating is 15. Out of them, 6 rate it a Hold, while 3 recommend Buy, whereas 0 assign an Overweight rating. 1 analyst(s) have tagged The Macerich Company (MAC) as Underweight, while 5 advise Sell. Analysts have rated the stock Hold, likely urging investors to take advantage of the opportunity to add to their holdings of the company’s shares.

A quick review shows that MAC’s price is currently -2.31% off the SMA20 and -3.29% off the SMA50. The RSI metric on the 14-day chart is currently showing 46.26, and weekly volatility stands at 4.84%. When measured over the past 30 days, the indicator reaches 4.29%. The Macerich Company (NYSE:MAC)’s beta value is currently sitting at 2.16, while the Average True Range indicator is currently displaying 0.43. With analysts defining $8.00-$18.00 as the low and high price targets, we arrive at a consensus price target of $11.85 for the trailing 12-month period. The current price is about 15.88% off the estimated low and -89.27% off the forecast high, based on this estimate. Investors will be thrilled if MAC’s share price rises to $12.00, which is the median consensus price. At that level, MAC’s share price would be -26.18% below current price.

To see how The Macerich Company stock has been performing today in comparison to its peers in the industry, here are the numbers: MAC stock’s performance was -2.06% at last check in today’s session, and -17.24% in the past year, while Boston Properties Inc. (BXP) has been trading -2.61% in recent session and positioned -53.30% lower than it was a year ago. Also during today’s trading, the S&P 500 Index has plunged -0.89%, while the Dow Jones Industrial also saw a negative session, down -0.72% today.

An evaluation of the daily trading volume of The Macerich Company (NYSE:MAC) indicates that the 3-month average is 1.98 million. However, this figure has increased over the past 10 days to an average of 1.84 million.

Currently, records show that 215.29 million of the company’s shares remain outstanding. The insiders hold 0.40% of outstanding shares, whereas institutions hold 83.60%. The stats also highlight that short interest as of Apr 27, 2023, stood at 16.18 million shares, resulting in a short ratio of 10.43 at that time. From this, we can conclude that short interest is 7.51% of the company’s total outstanding shares. It is noteworthy that short shares in April were up slightly from the previous month’s figure, which was 15.85 million. However, since the stock’s price has seen -15.54% year-to-date, investors’ interest is likely to be reignited due to its potential to move even lower.

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