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Volatility Hits 7.76% At Jumia Technologies AG (JMIA) – Here’s What A Good Investor Should Do

Jumia Technologies AG (NYSE:JMIA) price on Friday, March 17, fall -3.21% below its previous day’s close as a downside momentum from buyers pushed the stock’s value to $3.02.

A look at the stock’s price movement, the close in the last trading session was $3.12, moving within a range at $2.97 and $3.12. The beta value (5-Year monthly) was 2.55. Turning to its 52-week performance, $12.53 and $2.79 were the 52-week high and 52-week low respectively. Overall, JMIA moved -27.75% over the past month.

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Jumia Technologies AG’s market cap currently stands at around $301.63 million, with investors looking forward to this quarter’s earnings report slated for May 15, 2023 – May 19, 2023. Analysts project the company’s earnings per share (EPS) to be -$0.36, which has seen fiscal year 2023 EPS growth forecast to increase to -$1.43 and about -$1.22 for fiscal year 2024. Per the data, EPS growth is expected to be -16.30% for 2023 and 14.70% for the next financial year.

Analysts have a consensus estimate of $50.5 million for the company’s revenue for the quarter, with a low and high estimate of $49.4 million and $51.6 million respectively. The average forecast suggests up to a 6.10% growth in sales growth compared to quarterly growth in the same period last fiscal year. Wall Street analysts have also projected the company’s year-on-year revenue for 2023 to grow to $237.06 million, representing a 6.80% jump on that reported in the last financial year.

Revisions could be used as tool to get short term price movement insight, and for the company that in the past seven days was no upward and no downward review(s). Turning to the stock’s technical picture we see that short term indicators suggest on average that JMIA is a 100% Sell. On the other hand, the stock is on average a 100% Sell as suggested by medium term indicators while long term indicators are putting the stock in 100% Sell category.

4 analyst(s) have given their forecast ratings for the stock on a scale of 1.00-5.00 for a strong buy to strong sell recommendation. A total of 3 analyst(s) rate the stock as a Hold, 0 recommend JMIA as a Buy and 0 give it an Overweight rating. Meanwhile, 0 analyst(s) rate the stock as Underweight and 1 say it is a Sell. As such, the average rating for the stock is Underweight which could provide an opportunity for investors keen on increasing their holdings of the company’s stock.

JMIA’s current price about -8.64% and -18.88% off the 20-day and 50-day simple moving averages respectively. The Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14) currently prints 37.55, while 7-day volatility ratio is 7.76% and 6.30% in the 30-day chart. Further, Jumia Technologies AG (JMIA) has a beta value of 2.55, and an average true range (ATR) of 0.24.

In the market, a comparison of Jumia Technologies AG (JMIA) and its peers suggest the former has performed considerably weaker. Data shows JMIA’s intraday price has changed -3.21% in last session and -62.25% over the past year. Comparatively, Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) has moved -1.09% on the day and only -35.37% in the past 12 months. Looking at another peer, we see that Meta Platforms Inc. (META) price has dipped -4.55% on the day. However, the stock is -3.94% off its price a year ago. Elsewhere, the overall performance for the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial shows that the indexes are down -1.10% and -1.19% respectively in the last trading.

If we refocus on Jumia Technologies AG (NYSE:JMIA), historical trading data shows that trading volumes averaged 1.92 million over the past 10 days and 2.34 million over the past 3 months. The company’s latest data on shares outstanding shows there are 99.88 million shares.

Also important is the data on short interest which shows that short shares stood at 7.25 million on Jan 30, 2023, giving us a short ratio of 3.23. The data shows that as of Jan 30, 2023 short interest in Jumia Technologies AG (JMIA) stood at 7.26% of shares outstanding, with shares short falling to 7.37 million registered in Dec 29, 2022. Current price change has pushed the stock -5.92% YTD, which shows the potential for further growth is there. It is this reason that could see investor optimism for the JMIA stock continues to rise going into the next quarter.

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