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Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI): Significant Improvements That Are Worth Pondering

Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI) price on Friday, March 17, fall -1.78% below its previous day’s close as a downside momentum from buyers pushed the stock’s value to $95.50.

A look at the stock’s price movement, the close in the last trading session was $97.23, moving within a range at $94.07 and $98.04. The beta value (5-Year monthly) was 1.38 while the PE ratio in trailing twelve months stood at 9.08. Turning to its 52-week performance, $104.30 and $34.11 were the 52-week high and 52-week low respectively. Overall, SMCI moved 2.69% over the past month.

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Super Micro Computer Inc.’s market cap currently stands at around $5.44 billion, with investors looking forward to this quarter’s earnings report slated for May 01, 2023 – May 05, 2023. Analysts project the company’s earnings per share (EPS) to be $1.99, which has seen fiscal year 2023 EPS growth forecast to increase to $10.34 and about $9.57 for fiscal year 2024. Per the data, EPS growth is expected to be 83.00% for 2023 and -7.40% for the next financial year.

Analysts have a consensus estimate of $1.46 billion for the company’s revenue for the quarter, with a low and high estimate of $1.42 billion and $1.48 billion respectively. The average forecast suggests up to a 7.90% growth in sales growth compared to quarterly growth in the same period last fiscal year. Wall Street analysts have also projected the company’s year-on-year revenue for 2023 to grow to $6.74 billion, representing a 29.70% jump on that reported in the last financial year.

Revisions could be used as tool to get short term price movement insight, and for the company that in the past seven days was 3 upward and no downward review(s). Turning to the stock’s technical picture we see that short term indicators suggest on average that SMCI is a 50% Buy. On the other hand, the stock is on average a 100% Buy as suggested by medium term indicators while long term indicators are putting the stock in 100% Buy category.

5 analyst(s) have given their forecast ratings for the stock on a scale of 1.00-5.00 for a strong buy to strong sell recommendation. A total of 2 analyst(s) rate the stock as a Hold, 3 recommend SMCI as a Buy and 0 give it an Overweight rating. Meanwhile, 0 analyst(s) rate the stock as Underweight and 0 say it is a Sell. As such, the average rating for the stock is Overweight which could provide an opportunity for investors keen on increasing their holdings of the company’s stock.

The technical evaluation for the stock shows the PEG ratio is 0.91, with SMCI’s current price about -0.19% and 10.00% off the 20-day and 50-day simple moving averages respectively. The Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14) currently prints 53.24, while 7-day volatility ratio is 5.08% and 5.32% in the 30-day chart. Further, Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) has a beta value of 1.25, and an average true range (ATR) of 5.21. Analysts have given the company’s stock an average 52-week price target of $100.80, forecast between a low of $65.00 and high of $175.00. Looking at the price targets, the low is 31.94% off current price level while to achieve the yearly target high, price needs to move -83.25%. Nonetheless, investors will most likely welcome a 0.52% jump to $95.00 which is the analysts’ median price.

In the market, a comparison of Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) and its peers suggest the former has performed considerably weaker. Data shows SMCI’s intraday price has changed -1.78% in last session and 123.39% over the past year. Comparatively, HP Inc. (HPQ) has moved -0.95% on the day and only -21.70% in the past 12 months. Looking at another peer, we see that Intel Corporation (INTC) price has dipped -1.23% on the day. However, the stock is -36.07% off its price a year ago. Moreover, Digi International Inc. (DGII) is also down -2.67% in trading on the day while keeping a an uptrend of 56.27% over the past year. If we look at the PE ratio, we find that Super Micro Computer Inc.’s ratio stands at 9.08 compared to HP Inc.’s 11.17 and Intel Corporation’s 15.28. Elsewhere, the overall performance for the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial shows that the indexes are down -1.10% and -1.19% respectively in the last trading.

If we refocus on Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI), historical trading data shows that trading volumes averaged 1.23 million over the past 10 days and 1.58 million over the past 3 months. The company’s latest data on shares outstanding shows there are 53.16 million shares.

The 12.80% of Super Micro Computer Inc.’s shares are in the hands of company insiders while institutional holders own 74.30% of the company’s shares. Also important is the data on short interest which shows that short shares stood at 5.01 million on Jan 12, 2023, giving us a short ratio of 2.88. The data shows that as of Jan 12, 2023 short interest in Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) stood at 9.46% of shares outstanding, with shares short rising to 3.47 million registered in Dec 14, 2022. Current price change has pushed the stock 16.32% YTD, which shows the potential for further growth is there. It is this reason that could see investor optimism for the SMCI stock continues to rise going into the next quarter.

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