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Geron Corporation (GERN) Strikes $2.53: The Risk Seems Worthwhile At This Price

Geron Corporation (NASDAQ:GERN) price on Friday, March 17, fall -4.53% below its previous day’s close as a downside momentum from buyers pushed the stock’s value to $2.53.

A look at the stock’s price movement, the close in the last trading session was $2.65, moving within a range at $2.361 and $2.65. The beta value (5-Year monthly) was 0.76. Turning to its 52-week performance, $3.84 and $1.02 were the 52-week high and 52-week low respectively. Overall, GERN moved -5.95% over the past month.

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Geron Corporation’s market cap currently stands at around $1.01 billion, with investors looking forward to this quarter’s earnings report slated for May 08, 2023 – May 12, 2023. Analysts project the company’s earnings per share (EPS) to be -$0.12, which has seen fiscal year 2022 EPS growth forecast to increase to -$0.39 and about -$0.4 for fiscal year 2023. Per the data, EPS growth is expected to be -11.40% for 2023 and -2.60% for the next financial year.

The average forecast suggests down to a -88.50% growth in sales growth compared to quarterly growth in the same period last fiscal year. Wall Street analysts have also projected the company’s year-on-year revenue for 2022 to grow to $600k, representing a -56.90% decline on that reported in the last financial year.

Revisions could be used as tool to get short term price movement insight, and for the company that in the past seven days was no upward and no downward review(s). Turning to the stock’s technical picture we see that short term indicators suggest on average that GERN is a Hold. On the other hand, the stock is on average a 50% Buy as suggested by medium term indicators while long term indicators are putting the stock in Hold category.

6 analyst(s) have given their forecast ratings for the stock on a scale of 1.00-5.00 for a strong buy to strong sell recommendation. A total of 0 analyst(s) rate the stock as a Hold, 5 recommend GERN as a Buy and 1 give it an Overweight rating. Meanwhile, 0 analyst(s) rate the stock as Underweight and 0 say it is a Sell. As such, the average rating for the stock is Buy which could provide an opportunity for investors keen on increasing their holdings of the company’s stock.

GERN’s current price about -7.93% and -14.75% off the 20-day and 50-day simple moving averages respectively. The Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14) currently prints 37.93, while 7-day volatility ratio is 7.13% and 5.37% in the 30-day chart. Further, Geron Corporation (GERN) has a beta value of 0.96, and an average true range (ATR) of 0.16. Analysts have given the company’s stock an average 52-week price target of $5.33, forecast between a low of $4.00 and high of $7.00. Looking at the price targets, the low is -58.1% off current price level while to achieve the yearly target high, price needs to move -176.68%. Nonetheless, investors will most likely welcome a -97.63% jump to $5.00 which is the analysts’ median price.

In the market, a comparison of Geron Corporation (GERN) and its peers suggest the former has performed considerably weaker. Data shows GERN’s intraday price has changed -4.53% in last session and 145.63% over the past year. Comparatively, CTI BioPharma Corp. (CTIC) has moved -1.59% on the day and only 0.00% in the past 12 months. Looking at another peer, we see that Bio-Techne Corporation (TECH) price has dipped -1.61% on the day. However, the stock is -31.69% off its price a year ago. Moreover, Incyte Corporation (INCY) is also down -0.47% in trading on the day while keeping a a downtrend of -1.31% over the past year. Elsewhere, the overall performance for the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial shows that the indexes are down -1.10% and -1.19% respectively in the last trading.

If we refocus on Geron Corporation (NASDAQ:GERN), historical trading data shows that trading volumes averaged 5.05 million over the past 10 days and 8.91 million over the past 3 months. The company’s latest data on shares outstanding shows there are 405.24 million shares.

The 0.10% of Geron Corporation’s shares are in the hands of company insiders while institutional holders own 50.50% of the company’s shares. Also important is the data on short interest which shows that short shares stood at 24.55 million on Jan 30, 2023, giving us a short ratio of 1.41. The data shows that as of Jan 30, 2023 short interest in Geron Corporation (GERN) stood at 5.46% of shares outstanding, with shares short falling to 29.19 million registered in Dec 29, 2022. Current price change has pushed the stock 4.55% YTD, which shows the potential for further growth is there. It is this reason that could see investor optimism for the GERN stock continues to rise going into the next quarter.

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