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Antero Resources Corporation (AR) Outlook: Looking Back For Insights

Antero Resources Corporation (NYSE:AR) price on Friday, March 17, fall -3.08% below its previous day’s close as a downside momentum from buyers pushed the stock’s value to $21.69.

A look at the stock’s price movement, the close in the last trading session was $22.38, moving within a range at $21.47 and $22.35. The beta value (5-Year monthly) was 3.47 while the PE ratio in trailing twelve months stood at 3.73. Turning to its 52-week performance, $48.80 and $21.37 were the 52-week high and 52-week low respectively. Overall, AR moved -22.29% over the past month.

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Antero Resources Corporation’s market cap currently stands at around $6.63 billion, with investors looking forward to this quarter’s earnings report slated for Apr 25, 2023 – May 01, 2023. Analysts project the company’s earnings per share (EPS) to be $0.93, which has seen fiscal year 2022 EPS growth forecast to increase to $5.55 and about $4.24 for fiscal year 2023. Per the data, EPS growth is expected to be 285.40% for 2023 and -23.60% for the next financial year.

Analysts have a consensus estimate of $1.59 billion for the company’s revenue for the quarter, with a low and high estimate of $1.38 billion and $1.96 billion respectively. The average forecast suggests down to a -33.50% growth in sales growth compared to quarterly growth in the same period last fiscal year. Wall Street analysts have also projected the company’s year-on-year revenue for 2022 to grow to $6.87 billion, representing a 48.80% jump on that reported in the last financial year.

Revisions could be used as tool to get short term price movement insight, and for the company that in the past seven days was no upward and no downward review(s). Turning to the stock’s technical picture we see that short term indicators suggest on average that AR is a 100% Sell. On the other hand, the stock is on average a 100% Sell as suggested by medium term indicators while long term indicators are putting the stock in 100% Sell category.

AR’s current price about -13.86% and -20.36% off the 20-day and 50-day simple moving averages respectively. The Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14) currently prints 30.02, while 7-day volatility ratio is 4.95% and 4.80% in the 30-day chart. Further, Antero Resources Corporation (AR) has a beta value of 3.53, and an average true range (ATR) of 1.23. Analysts have given the company’s stock an average 52-week price target of $36.07, forecast between a low of $29.00 and high of $43.00. Looking at the price targets, the low is -33.7% off current price level while to achieve the yearly target high, price needs to move -98.25%. Nonetheless, investors will most likely welcome a -65.98% jump to $36.00 which is the analysts’ median price.

In the market, a comparison of Antero Resources Corporation (AR) and its peers suggest the former has performed considerably weaker. Data shows AR’s intraday price has changed -3.08% in last session and -13.62% over the past year. Comparatively, Range Resources Corporation (RRC) has moved -8.88% on the day and only -10.27% in the past 12 months. Looking at another peer, we see that Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) price has dipped -1.36% on the day. However, the stock is 5.60% off its price a year ago. Moreover, EQT Corporation (EQT) is also down -2.49% in trading on the day while keeping a an uptrend of 12.66% over the past year. If we look at the PE ratio, we find that Antero Resources Corporation’s ratio stands at 3.73 compared to Range Resources Corporation’s 4.79 and Coterra Energy Inc.’s 4.56. Elsewhere, the overall performance for the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial shows that the indexes are down -1.10% and -1.19% respectively in the last trading.

If we refocus on Antero Resources Corporation (NYSE:AR), historical trading data shows that trading volumes averaged 6.13 million over the past 10 days and 6.05 million over the past 3 months. The company’s latest data on shares outstanding shows there are 298.95 million shares.

The 4.80% of Antero Resources Corporation’s shares are in the hands of company insiders while institutional holders own 79.90% of the company’s shares. Also important is the data on short interest which shows that short shares stood at 18.12 million on Jan 30, 2023, giving us a short ratio of 3.17. The data shows that as of Jan 30, 2023 short interest in Antero Resources Corporation (AR) stood at 6.04% of shares outstanding, with shares short rising to 17.63 million registered in Dec 29, 2022. Current price change has pushed the stock -30.01% YTD, which shows the potential for further growth is there. It is this reason that could see investor optimism for the AR stock continues to rise going into the next quarter.

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