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Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI): A Sitting Duck With A Potential Upside Of More Than -23.85%

Alamos Gold Inc. (NYSE:AGI) price on Friday, March 17, rose 6.69% above its previous day’s close as an upside momentum from buyers pushed the stock’s value to $11.32.

A look at the stock’s price movement, the close in the last trading session was $10.61, moving within a range at $10.62 and $11.415. The beta value (5-Year monthly) was 1.04 while the PE ratio in trailing twelve months stood at 89.13. Turning to its 52-week performance, $11.61 and $6.35 were the 52-week high and 52-week low respectively. Overall, AGI moved 9.27% over the past month.

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Alamos Gold Inc.’s market cap currently stands at around $6.04 billion, with investors looking forward to this quarter’s earnings report slated for Apr 25, 2023 – May 01, 2023. The company has a Forward Dividend ratio of 0.14, with its dividend yield at 1.20%. As such, investors might be keen on an upside in the stock’s price ahead of the scheduled earnings report. Analysts project the company’s earnings per share (EPS) to be $0.11, which has seen fiscal year 2023 EPS growth forecast to increase to $0.39 and about $0.42 for fiscal year 2024. Per the data, EPS growth is expected to be 39.30% for 2023 and 7.70% for the next financial year.

Analysts have a consensus estimate of $227.48 million for the company’s revenue for the quarter, with a low and high estimate of $227.48 million and $227.48 million respectively. The average forecast suggests up to a 23.30% growth in sales growth compared to quarterly growth in the same period last fiscal year. Wall Street analysts have also projected the company’s year-on-year revenue for 2023 to grow to $907.83 million, representing a 10.50% jump on that reported in the last financial year.

Revisions could be used as tool to get short term price movement insight, and for the company that in the past seven days was 1 upward and no downward review(s). Turning to the stock’s technical picture we see that short term indicators suggest on average that AGI is a 50% Buy. On the other hand, the stock is on average a 100% Buy as suggested by medium term indicators while long term indicators are putting the stock in 100% Buy category.

11 analyst(s) have given their forecast ratings for the stock on a scale of 1.00-5.00 for a strong buy to strong sell recommendation. A total of 5 analyst(s) rate the stock as a Hold, 6 recommend AGI as a Buy and 0 give it an Overweight rating. Meanwhile, 0 analyst(s) rate the stock as Underweight and 0 say it is a Sell. As such, the average rating for the stock is Overweight which could provide an opportunity for investors keen on increasing their holdings of the company’s stock.

AGI’s current price about 10.24% and 6.27% off the 20-day and 50-day simple moving averages respectively. The Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14) currently prints 67.86, while 7-day volatility ratio is 4.30% and 3.01% in the 30-day chart. Further, Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) has a beta value of 1.04, and an average true range (ATR) of 0.37. Analysts have given the company’s stock an average 52-week price target of $12.24, forecast between a low of $10.00 and high of $14.02. Looking at the price targets, the low is 11.66% off current price level while to achieve the yearly target high, price needs to move -23.85%. Nonetheless, investors will most likely welcome a -5.04% jump to $11.89 which is the analysts’ median price.

In the market, a comparison of Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) and its peers suggest the former has performed considerably stronger. Data shows AGI’s intraday price has changed 6.69% in last session and 38.22% over the past year. Comparatively, Kellogg Company (K) has moved -0.35% on the day and only 6.20% in the past 12 months. Looking at another peer, we see that Barrick Gold Corporation (GOLD) price has gained 4.14% on the day. However, the stock is -22.13% off its price a year ago. Moreover, Yamana Gold Inc. (AUY) is also up 5.85% in trading on the day while keeping a an uptrend of 8.22% over the past year. If we look at the PE ratio, we find that Alamos Gold Inc.’s ratio stands at 89.13 compared to Kellogg Company’s 23.07 and Barrick Gold Corporation’s 75.82. Elsewhere, the overall performance for the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial shows that the indexes are down -1.10% and -1.19% respectively in the last trading.

If we refocus on Alamos Gold Inc. (NYSE:AGI), historical trading data shows that trading volumes averaged 3.37 million over the past 10 days and 3.34 million over the past 3 months. The company’s latest data on shares outstanding shows there are 393.04 million shares.

The 0.30% of Alamos Gold Inc.’s shares are in the hands of company insiders while institutional holders own 67.78% of the company’s shares. Also important is the data on short interest which shows that short shares stood at 6.17 million on Jan 12, 2023, giving us a short ratio of 1.73. The data shows that as of Jan 12, 2023 short interest in Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) stood at 1.57% of shares outstanding, with shares short rising to 5.7 million registered in Dec 14, 2022. Current price change has pushed the stock 11.97% YTD, which shows the potential for further growth is there. It is this reason that could see investor optimism for the AGI stock continues to rise going into the next quarter.

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