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How Does Gerdau S.A.’s (NYSE: GGB) Short-Term Prospect Look Like?

Gerdau S.A. (NYSE:GGB) traded at $6.36 at last check on Tuesday, 01/24/23, made an upward move of 0.71% on its previous day’s price.

Looking at the stock we see that its previous close was $6.32 and the beta (5Y monthly) reads 1.23 with the day’s price range being $6.25 – $6.345. The company has a trailing 12-month PE ratio of 4.04. In terms of its 52-week price range, GGB has a high of $6.66 and a low of $3.89. The company’s stock has gained about 7.12% over that past 30 days.

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Gerdau S.A. has a market cap of $9.95 billion. With its Forward Dividend at 0.70 and a yield of 11.09%, the company’s investors could be anxious for the GGB stock to gain ahead of the earnings release. Estimates by analysts give the company expected earnings per share (EPS) of $0.35, with the EPS growth for the year raised at $1.43 for 2022 and $0.67 for next year. These figures represent -14.40% and -53.10% growth in EPS for the two years respectively.

Analysts tracking the company’s growth have also given it a consensus growth in revenue estimated at $3.82 billion, with a low of $3.82 billion and a high of $3.82 billion. The median projection represents growth squeezing down to 3.30% compared to sales growth for the corresponding quarter a year ago. According to analyst consensus estimates figures, the company’s yearly revenue forecast for 2022 is expected to hit $15.79 billion, or -1.60% down from figures reported last year.

There have been no upward and no downward revisions for the stock’s EPS in last 7 days, something that reflects the nature of company’s price movement in short term. On the other hand, looking at the outlook for the GGB stock, short term indicators assign the stock an average of 100% Buy, while medium term indicators assign it an average of 100% Buy. Long term indicators on average place the stock in the category of 100% Buy.

Based on estimates by 13 analysts, where scores have ranged from 1.00 for a strong buy to 5.00 for a strong sell, 2 have rated the Gerdau S.A. (GGB) stock as a Hold, while 11 rate it as a Buy. 0 analyst(s) rate it as overweight while 0 of them rated it as underweight, whereas 0 suggest the stock as a Sell. The stock has an overall rating of Buy and investors could take advantage and scoop up stock of the company.

Looking further, we note the current price level is 6.38% off its SMA20 and 8.79% from its 50-day simple moving average. The RSI (14) is pointing at 63.90 while the volatility over the past week is 2.09% and jumps to 2.76% over the past one month. The beta value is 1.54, while the average true range (ATR) is currently pointing at 0.18. The average price target for the stock over the next 12 months is $7.11, with the estimates having a low of $5.89 and a high of $8.08. These price ends are 7.39% and -27.04% off the today’s price level respectively, although investors could be excited at the prospect of a -12.26% if the GGB share price touches on the median price of $7.14.

Let’s briefly compare Gerdau S.A. (GGB) stock to its peers. We find that today’s price change of 0.71% and 30.97% over the past 12 months for GGB competes that of United States Steel Corporation (X), which has seen its stock price fall -0.62% in the latest trading session and is 45.09% over the last one year. Another of its peers Nucor Corporation (NUE) has dropped -0.40% today, and was 65.53% up over the past year, while ArcelorMittal S.A. (MT) is also up 0.08% yet, while its price remains in the red at -2.07% over the same period. Gerdau S.A. has a P/E ratio of 4.04 compared to United States Steel Corporation’s 2.32 and Nucor Corporation’s 4.80. In contrast to these companies, both the S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrial are today at -1.43% and -1.17%, respectively, in early deals.

Coming back to Gerdau S.A. (NYSE:GGB), we note that the average 3-month trading volume was 13.35 million, while that of the preceding 10-day period stands at 12.67 million. Current shares outstanding are 1.69 billion.

The insiders hold 32.70% of the company’s shares while institutions hold 21.90%. The data shows that short shares as of Oct 13, 2022, stood at 2.07 million at a short ratio of 0.17. This represents a 0.12% short interest in shares outstanding on Oct 13, 2022. Shares short fall in October from the previous month at 14.29 million. Investors should be excited about this stock as its upside potential is great, with today’s price pushing the stock 14.08% up in year-to-date price movement.

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