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What Caused American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ: AAL) To Rose?

American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) traded at $16.41 at last check on Tuesday, January 24, made an upward move of 1.45% on its previous day’s price.

Looking at the stock we see that its previous close was $16.17 and the beta (5Y monthly) reads 1.45 with the day’s price range being $16.16 – $16.44. In terms of its 52-week price range, AAL has a high of $21.42 and a low of $11.65. The company’s stock has gained about 29.05% over that past 30 days.

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American Airlines Group Inc. has a market cap of $10.47 billion and is expected to release its quarterly earnings report on Apr 19, 2023 – Apr 24, 2023. Estimates by analysts give the company expected earnings per share (EPS) of $0.57, with the EPS growth for the year raised at -$0.25 for 2022 and $1.52 for next year. These figures represent 97.00% and 708.00% growth in EPS for the two years respectively.

Analysts tracking the company’s growth have also given it a consensus growth in revenue estimated at $12.7 billion, with a low of $12.62 billion and a high of $12.78 billion. The median projection represents growth squeezing down to 34.80% compared to sales growth for the corresponding quarter a year ago. According to analyst consensus estimates figures, the company’s yearly revenue forecast for 2022 is expected to hit $48.48 billion, or 62.20% up from figures reported last year.

There have been 10 upward and no downward revisions for the stock’s EPS in last 7 days, something that reflects the nature of company’s price movement in short term. On the other hand, looking at the outlook for the AAL stock, short term indicators assign the stock an average of 100% Buy, while medium term indicators assign it an average of 50% Buy. Long term indicators on average place the stock in the category of 50% Buy.

Based on estimates by 21 analysts, where scores have ranged from 1.00 for a strong buy to 5.00 for a strong sell, 15 have rated the American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) stock as a Hold, while 2 rate it as a Buy. 1 analyst(s) rate it as overweight while 1 of them rated it as underweight, whereas 2 suggest the stock as a Sell. The stock has an overall rating of Hold and investors could take advantage and scoop up stock of the company.

Looking further, we note the current price level is 12.54% off its SMA20 and 15.90% from its 50-day simple moving average. The RSI (14) is pointing at 67.12 while the volatility over the past week is 3.15% and jumps to 3.94% over the past one month. The beta value is 1.50, while the average true range (ATR) is currently pointing at 0.61. The average price target for the stock over the next 12 months is $16.43, with the estimates having a low of $8.00 and a high of $26.00. These price ends are 51.25% and -58.44% off the today’s price level respectively, although investors could be excited at the prospect of a 8.59% if the AAL share price touches on the median price of $15.00.

Let’s briefly compare American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) stock to its peers. We find that today’s price change of 1.45% and -3.52% over the past 12 months for AAL competes that of Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV), which has seen its stock price rise 0.19% in the latest trading session and is -17.25% over the last one year. Another of its peers Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) has gained 0.51% today, and was 0.62% up over the past year, while United Airlines Holdings Inc. (UAL) is also up 1.69% yet, while its price remains in the green at 14.93% over the same period. In contrast to these companies, both the S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrial are today at -0.40% and -0.23%, respectively, in early deals.

Coming back to American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL), we note that the average 3-month trading volume was 27.76 million, while that of the preceding 10-day period stands at 39.22 million. Current shares outstanding are 650.59 million.

The insiders hold 0.10% of the company’s shares while institutions hold 55.50%. The data shows that short shares as of Oct 13, 2022, stood at 86.29 million at a short ratio of 2.28. This represents a 13.28% short interest in shares outstanding on Oct 13, 2022. Shares short rose in October from the previous month at 80.14 million. Investors should be excited about this stock as its upside potential is great, with today’s price pushing the stock 27.12% up in year-to-date price movement.

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