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The GEO Group Inc. (GEO) Could Be Sitting On A Goldmine

The GEO Group Inc. (NYSE:GEO) concluded the trading at $10.48 on Wednesday, November 23 with a rise of 3.25% from its closing price on previous day.

Taking a look at stock we notice that its last check on previous day was $10.15 and 5Y monthly beta was reading 0.52 with its price kept floating in the range of $10.22 and $10.55 on the day. Company’s P/E ratio for the trailing 12 months is 19.85. Considering stock’s 52-week price range provides that GEO hit a high price of $10.78 and saw its price falling to a low level of $5.20 during that period. Over a period of past 1-month, stock came adding 21.44% in its value.

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With its current market valuation of $1.29 billion, The GEO Group Inc. is set to declare its quarterly results on Feb 15, 2023 – Feb 20, 2023. Analysts are in estimates of $0.26 per share for company’s earnings in the current quarter and are expecting its annual EPS growth moving up to $1.27 for 2022 with estimates of that growing to $1.22 in next year. These estimates are suggesting current year growth of -3.80% for EPS and -3.90% growth next year.

Analysts watching the company’s growth closely have provided estimates for its revenue growth with an average revenue estimate of $603.96 million. They suggested that in the process company could generate revenue of as low as $603 million which could climb up to $605.8 million to hit a high. The average estimate is representing an increase of 8.30% in sales growth from that of posted by the company in the same quarter of last year. In keeping analyst consensus estimate with, company is forecasted to be making an annual revenue of $2.35 billion in 2022, which will be 4.10% more from revenue generated by the company last year.

In last 7 days, analysts came adjusting their opinions about stock’s EPS with no upward and no downward revisions, an indication which could give clearer idea about the company’s short term price movement. In contrast, when we review GEO stock’s current outlook then short term indicators are assigning it an average of 100% Buy, while medium term indicators are categorizing the stock at an average of 100% Buy. Long term indicators are suggesting an average of 100% Buy for it.

Digging deeper we become aware of the PEG ratio of the GEO stock which is currently positioned at 1.32. It further provides that stock’s current price level is 16.98% away from its 20-day simple moving average and is 23.24% off its SMA50. Its relative strength index (RSI) for 14-periods is oscillating at 70.40 while volatility remained at 5.61% over the past week which changes to 5.58% when measuring it over the past month. Beta is valued at 0.55, while measure of average true range or ATR is currently at 0.50.

In comparing The GEO Group Inc. (GEO)’s stock with other industry players reveals that stock’s current price change of 3.25% and that of 15.67% over the past 12 months is in competing position with that of CoreCivic Inc. (CXW) which saw its stock price raised by 1.17% in the last trading and went through an increase of 2.27% in past 12-month trading. The GEO Group Inc. has a P/E ratio of 19.85 against that of CoreCivic Inc.’s 11.48. On the other hand, the S&P 500 Index was up 0.59% in the last trading session while the Dow Jones Industrial closed the session higher at 0.28%.

Having a second look at The GEO Group Inc. (NYSE:GEO) provides that stock’s average daily trading volume for 3 months was 2.17 million, while it jumped to 3.07 million when we calculate an average volume for past 10 days. Number of outstanding shares of the stock stood at 121.15 million.

The percentage of outstanding shares held by the insiders is 4.79% while it is 79.50% for the institutional holders. The figures also indicate that as of Oct 13, 2022, number of stock’s short shares was 20.22 million which implies a short ratio of 11.59. This shows up a 16.30% of Short Interest in company’s outstanding shares on the day. In October the standing of shares short improved as it was 19.2 million in the previous month. Addition of 35.23% by stock’s current price to its year-to-date value in last trading session is likely to be increasing investors’ interest in the stock as it is hinting an extended uptrend.

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