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Geron Corporation (GERN) Outlook: Revisiting The Past For Future Insights

Geron Corporation (NASDAQ:GERN) concluded the trading at $2.20 on Wednesday, November 23 with a fall of -2.65% from its closing price on previous day.

Taking a look at stock we notice that its last check on previous day was $2.26 and 5Y monthly beta was reading 0.76 with its price kept floating in the range of $2.185 and $2.29 on the day. Considering stock’s 52-week price range provides that GERN hit a high price of $3.06 and saw its price falling to a low level of $0.99 during that period. Over a period of past 1-month, stock came subtracting -7.95% in its value.

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With its current market valuation of $835.03 million, Geron Corporation is set to declare its quarterly results on Nov 03, 2022. Analysts are in estimates of -$0.12 per share for company’s earnings in the current quarter and are expecting its annual EPS growth moving up to -$0.39 for 2022 with estimates of that growing to -$0.43 in next year. These estimates are suggesting current year growth of -11.40% for EPS and -10.30% growth next year.

Analysts watching the company’s growth closely have provided estimates for its revenue growth with an average revenue estimate of $120k. The average estimate is representing a decrease of -88.50% in sales growth from that of posted by the company in the same quarter of last year. In keeping analyst consensus estimate with, company is forecasted to be making an annual revenue of $610k in 2022, which will be -56.20% less from revenue generated by the company last year.

In last 7 days, analysts came adjusting their opinions about stock’s EPS with no upward and no downward revisions, an indication which could give clearer idea about the company’s short term price movement. In contrast, when we review GERN stock’s current outlook then short term indicators are assigning it an average of 50% Sell, while medium term indicators are categorizing the stock at an average of 50% Buy. Long term indicators are suggesting an average of 50% Buy for it.

According to ratings assigned by 6 analysts at the scale of 1 to 5 with 1.00 representing a strong buy and 5.00 suggesting a strong sell; 0 of them are recommending Geron Corporation (GERN) as a Hold, while 5 are in view that stock is a Buy. Recommendation by 0 analysts for the stock is an Underweight while number of those analysts who rated the stock as an Overweight is 1, whereas 0 of them are considering the stock as a Sell. When taken as whole, stock gets a rating of Overweight and that encourages the investors to exploit the opportunity and build their stake up in the company.

Digging deeper we become aware of the PEG ratio of the GERN stock which is currently positioned at 0. It further provides that stock’s current price level is -0.74% away from its 20-day simple moving average and is -5.01% off its SMA50. Its relative strength index (RSI) for 14-periods is oscillating at 47.60 while volatility remained at 5.19% over the past week which changes to 6.46% when measuring it over the past month. Beta is valued at 0.78, while measure of average true range or ATR is currently at 0.13. In predicting price targets of as low as $3.00 and as high as $7.00, analysts are in agreement on assigning the stock over the next 12 months average price target of $4.33. Stock’s current price level is -36.36% above from estimated low price target while it is -218.18% below the estimated high; and even if the GERN’s share succeeded to reach the median price of $4.00, then the outlook of -81.82% could come to the excitement of the investors.

In comparing Geron Corporation (GERN)’s stock with other industry players reveals that stock’s current price change of -2.65% and that of 43.79% over the past 12 months is in competing position with that of CTI BioPharma Corp. (CTIC) which saw its stock price fall by -3.85% in the last trading and went through an increase of 144.68% in past 12-month trading. Industry’s another major player Bio-Techne Corporation (TECH) has rise 1.16% up in previous session, but over the past year has faced a fall of -28.85%, while Incyte Corporation (INCY) was also down -0.65% however its price remained floating in the green at 21.86% over the same period. Geron Corporation has a P/E ratio of 0 while Bio-Techne Corporation is showing 47.11 for the same. On the other hand, the S&P 500 Index was up 0.59% in the last trading session while the Dow Jones Industrial closed the session higher at 0.28%.

Having a second look at Geron Corporation (NASDAQ:GERN) provides that stock’s average daily trading volume for 3 months was 3.72 million, while it jumped to 2.7 million when we calculate an average volume for past 10 days. Number of outstanding shares of the stock stood at 405.24 million.

The percentage of outstanding shares held by the insiders is 0.10% while it is 50.60% for the institutional holders. The figures also indicate that as of Oct 30, 2022, number of stock’s short shares was 16.5 million which implies a short ratio of 4.65. This shows up a 4.33% of Short Interest in company’s outstanding shares on the day. In October the standing of shares short improved as it was 13.46 million in the previous month. Addition of 80.33% by stock’s current price to its year-to-date value in last trading session is likely to be increasing investors’ interest in the stock as it is hinting an extended uptrend.

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