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BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust (BPT) Volatility Hits 6.87% : Keep Your Head Up

BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust (NYSE:BPT) concluded the trading at $13.30 on Wednesday, November 23 with a fall of -2.78% from its closing price on previous day.

Taking a look at stock we notice that its last check on previous day was $13.68 and 5Y monthly beta was reading 0.24 with its price kept floating in the range of $12.965 and $13.758 on the day. Company’s P/E ratio for the trailing 12 months is 3.98. Considering stock’s 52-week price range provides that BPT hit a high price of $26.08 and saw its price falling to a low level of $3.41 during that period. Over a period of past 1-month, stock came adding 3.10% in its value.

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With its current market valuation of $291.54 million. BPT Stock’s Forward Dividend of 3.78 and its yield of 28.40% are making investors’ thoughts stronger that it could climb further before the company announces its earnings for the current quarter.

In last 7 days, analysts came adjusting their opinions about stock’s EPS with no upward and no downward revisions, an indication which could give clearer idea about the company’s short term price movement. In contrast, when we review BPT stock’s current outlook then short term indicators are assigning it an average of 50% Sell, while medium term indicators are categorizing the stock at an average of 100% Sell. Long term indicators are suggesting an average of 100% Sell for it.

According to ratings assigned by 1 analysts at the scale of 1 to 5 with 1.00 representing a strong buy and 5.00 suggesting a strong sell; 0 of them are recommending BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust (BPT) as a Hold, while 0 are in view that stock is a Buy. Recommendation by 0 analysts for the stock is an Underweight while number of those analysts who rated the stock as an Overweight is 0, whereas 1 of them are considering the stock as a Sell. When taken as whole, stock gets a rating of Overweight and that encourages the investors to exploit the opportunity and build their stake up in the company.

Digging deeper we become aware of the PEG ratio of the BPT stock which is currently positioned at 0. It further provides that stock’s current price level is -3.38% away from its 20-day simple moving average and is -1.50% off its SMA50. Its relative strength index (RSI) for 14-periods is oscillating at 47.39 while volatility remained at 6.87% over the past week which changes to 6.85% when measuring it over the past month. Beta is valued at 0.26, while measure of average true range or ATR is currently at 0.99. In predicting price targets of as low as $12.00 and as high as $12.00, analysts are in agreement on assigning the stock over the next 12 months average price target of $12.00. Stock’s current price level is 9.77% above from estimated low price target while it is 9.77% below the estimated high; and even if the BPT’s share succeeded to reach the median price of $12.00, then the outlook of 9.77% could come to the excitement of the investors.

In comparing BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust (BPT)’s stock with other industry players reveals that stock’s current price change of -2.78% and that of 228.40% over the past 12 months is in competing position with that of San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) which saw its stock price raised by 2.92% in the last trading and went through an increase of 54.93% in past 12-month trading. Industry’s another major player Marine Petroleum Trust (MARPS) has rise 3.10% up in previous session, but over the past year has faced a rise of 83.84%, while Permian Basin Royalty Trust (PBT) was also down -0.05% however its price remained floating in the green at 117.10% over the same period. BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust has a P/E ratio of 3.98 against that of San Juan Basin Royalty Trust’s 11.11 while Marine Petroleum Trust is showing 14.93 for the same. On the other hand, the S&P 500 Index was up 0.59% in the last trading session while the Dow Jones Industrial closed the session higher at 0.28%.

Having a second look at BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust (NYSE:BPT) provides that stock’s average daily trading volume for 3 months was 465.98K, while it jumped to 0.33 million when we calculate an average volume for past 10 days. Number of outstanding shares of the stock stood at 21.40 million.

The percentage of outstanding shares held by the insiders is 1.00% while it is 5.80% for the institutional holders. The figures also indicate that as of Oct 13, 2022, number of stock’s short shares was 1.89 million which implies a short ratio of 3.23. This shows up a 8.84% of Short Interest in company’s outstanding shares on the day. In October the standing of shares short improved as it was 0.5 million in the previous month. Addition of 238.42% by stock’s current price to its year-to-date value in last trading session is likely to be increasing investors’ interest in the stock as it is hinting an extended uptrend.

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