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When Would Be The Best Time To Buy The Carlyle Group Inc. (NASDAQ: CG) Stock?

The Carlyle Group Inc. (NASDAQ:CG) traded at $29.30 at close of the session on Tuesday, 11/22/22, made an upward move of 1.14% on its previous day’s price.

Looking at the stock we see that its previous close was $28.97 and the beta (5Y monthly) reads 1.70 with the day’s price range being $28.795 – $29.53. The company has a trailing 12-month PE ratio of 6.11. In terms of its 52-week price range, CG has a high of $59.60 and a low of $24.59. The company’s stock has gained about 10.61% over that past 30 days.

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The Carlyle Group Inc. has a market cap of $10.77 billion and is expected to release its quarterly earnings report on Feb 01, 2023 – Feb 06, 2023. With its Forward Dividend at 1.23 and a yield of 4.18%, the company’s investors could be anxious for the CG stock to gain ahead of the earnings release. Estimates by analysts give the company expected earnings per share (EPS) of $1.06, with the EPS growth for the year raised at $3.98 for 2022 and $4.12 for next year. These figures represent -20.60% and 3.50% growth in EPS for the two years respectively.

Analysts tracking the company’s growth have also given it a consensus growth in revenue estimated at $1.1 billion, with a low of $1 billion and a high of $1.25 billion. According to analyst consensus estimates figures, the company’s yearly revenue forecast for 2022 is expected to hit $4.09 billion, or -17.40% down from figures reported last year.

There have been no upward and no downward revisions for the stock’s EPS in last 7 days, something that reflects the nature of company’s price movement in short term. On the other hand, looking at the outlook for the CG stock, short term indicators assign the stock an average of Hold, while medium term indicators assign it an average of 50% Sell. Long term indicators on average place the stock in the category of 100% Sell.

Based on estimates by 17 analysts, where scores have ranged from 1.00 for a strong buy to 5.00 for a strong sell, 4 have rated the The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) stock as a Hold, while 11 rate it as a Buy. 1 analyst(s) rate it as overweight while 1 of them rated it as underweight, whereas 0 suggest the stock as a Sell. The stock has an overall rating of Overweight and investors could take advantage and scoop up stock of the company.

Looking further, we note the current price level is 3.53% off its SMA20 and 4.98% from its 50-day simple moving average. The RSI (14) is pointing at 55.04 while the volatility over the past week is 3.01% and jumps to 3.84% over the past one month. The beta value is 1.69, while the average true range (ATR) is currently pointing at 1.24. The average price target for the stock over the next 12 months is $40.87, with the estimates having a low of $29.00 and a high of $59.00. These price ends are 1.02% and -101.37% off the current price level respectively, although investors could be excited at the prospect of a -22.87% if the CG share price touches on the median price of $36.00.

Let’s briefly compare The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) stock to its peers. We find that current price change of 1.14% and -49.06% over the past 12 months for CG competes that of Bank of America Corporation (BAC), which has seen its stock price rise 0.48% in the last trading session and was -18.99% over the last one year. Another of its peers Morgan Stanley (MS) has gained 0.66% previous session, and was -9.72% down over the past year, while The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) was also up 0.96% in the last session, while its price remained in the red at -3.10% over the same period. The Carlyle Group Inc. has a P/E ratio of 6.11 compared to Bank of America Corporation’s 11.86 and Morgan Stanley’s 13.02. In contrast to these companies, both the S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrial were at 1.36% and 1.18%, respectively, at close of the trading.

Coming back to The Carlyle Group Inc. (NASDAQ:CG), we note that the average 3-month trading volume was 2.88 million, while that of the preceding 10-day period stands at 3.71 million. Current shares outstanding are 362.89 million.

The insiders hold 10.30% of the company’s shares while institutions hold 54.10%. The data shows that short shares as of Oct 13, 2022, stood at 12.56 million at a short ratio of 4.56. This represents a 3.48% short interest in shares outstanding on Oct 13, 2022. Shares short fall in October from the previous month at 15.82 million. Investors should be excited about this stock as its upside potential is great, with current price pushing the stock -46.63% down in year-to-date price movement.

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