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What Is The Deal With Alcoa Corporation (NYSE: AA) Stock?

Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA) traded at $49.36 at close of the session on Tuesday, 11/22/22, made an upward move of 5.85% on its previous day’s price.

Looking at the stock we see that its previous close was $46.63 and the beta (5Y monthly) reads 2.38 with the day’s price range being $46.94 – $49.42. In terms of its 52-week price range, AA has a high of $98.09 and a low of $33.55. The company’s stock has gained about 26.01% over that past 30 days.

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Alcoa Corporation has a market cap of $8.74 billion and is expected to release its quarterly earnings report on Jan 17, 2023 – Jan 23, 2023. With its Forward Dividend at 0.40 and a yield of 0.81%, the company’s investors could be anxious for the AA stock to gain ahead of the earnings release. Estimates by analysts give the company expected earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.63, with the EPS growth for the year raised at $4.49 for 2022 and $4.37 for next year. These figures represent -34.30% and -2.70% growth in EPS for the two years respectively.

Analysts tracking the company’s growth have also given it a consensus growth in revenue estimated at $2.64 billion, with a low of $2.5 billion and a high of $2.84 billion. The median projection represents growth adding up to -20.90% compared to sales growth for the corresponding quarter a year ago. According to analyst consensus estimates figures, the company’s yearly revenue forecast for 2022 is expected to hit $12.57 billion, or 3.40% up from figures reported last year.

There have been no upward and no downward revisions for the stock’s EPS in last 7 days, something that reflects the nature of company’s price movement in short term. On the other hand, looking at the outlook for the AA stock, short term indicators assign the stock an average of Hold, while medium term indicators assign it an average of 50% Sell. Long term indicators on average place the stock in the category of 50% Sell.

Based on estimates by 14 analysts, where scores have ranged from 1.00 for a strong buy to 5.00 for a strong sell, 7 have rated the Alcoa Corporation (AA) stock as a Hold, while 6 rate it as a Buy. 1 analyst(s) rate it as overweight while 0 of them rated it as underweight, whereas 0 suggest the stock as a Sell. The stock has an overall rating of Overweight and investors could take advantage and scoop up stock of the company.

Looking further, we note the current price level is 13.85% off its SMA20 and 20.38% from its 50-day simple moving average. The RSI (14) is pointing at 62.82 while the volatility over the past week is 4.88% and jumps to 5.70% over the past one month. The beta value is 2.41, while the average true range (ATR) is currently pointing at 2.98. The average price target for the stock over the next 12 months is $46.64, with the estimates having a low of $35.00 and a high of $60.00. These price ends are 29.09% and -21.56% off the current price level respectively, although investors could be excited at the prospect of a 8.83% if the AA share price touches on the median price of $45.00.

Coming back to Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA), we note that the average 3-month trading volume was 7.75 million, while that of the preceding 10-day period stands at 6.99 million. Current shares outstanding are 179.00 million.

The insiders hold 0.20% of the company’s shares while institutions hold 82.50%. The data shows that short shares as of Oct 13, 2022, stood at 8.14 million at a short ratio of 0.91. This represents a 4.52% short interest in shares outstanding on Oct 13, 2022. Shares short fall in October from the previous month at 9.65 million. Investors should be excited about this stock as its upside potential is great, with current price pushing the stock -17.15% down in year-to-date price movement.

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