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B&G Foods Inc. (NYSE: BGS) Share Price Fall Recently, Although Trouble Is Still On The Horizon

B&G Foods Inc. (NYSE:BGS) traded at $13.05 at close of the session on Tuesday, 11/22/22, made a downward move of -1.36% on its previous day’s price.

Looking at the stock we see that its previous close was $13.23 and the beta (5Y monthly) reads 0.45 with the day’s price range being $12.865 – $13.325. In terms of its 52-week price range, BGS has a high of $34.27 and a low of $12.29. The company’s stock has lost about -11.22% over that past 30 days.

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B&G Foods Inc. has a market cap of $943.91 million and is expected to release its quarterly earnings report on Nov 09, 2022. With its Forward Dividend at 0.76 and a yield of 5.82%, the company’s investors could be anxious for the BGS stock to gain ahead of the earnings release. Estimates by analysts give the company expected earnings per share (EPS) of $0.31, with the EPS growth for the year raised at $1.06 for 2022 and $1.37 for next year. These figures represent -43.60% and 29.20% growth in EPS for the two years respectively.

Analysts tracking the company’s growth have also given it a consensus growth in revenue estimated at $533.2 million, with a low of $522.69 million and a high of $566 million. The median projection represents growth squeezing down to 3.50% compared to sales growth for the corresponding quarter a year ago. According to analyst consensus estimates figures, the company’s yearly revenue forecast for 2022 is expected to hit $2.14 billion, or 3.90% up from figures reported last year.

There have been no upward and no downward revisions for the stock’s EPS in last 7 days, something that reflects the nature of company’s price movement in short term. On the other hand, looking at the outlook for the BGS stock, short term indicators assign the stock an average of 100% Sell, while medium term indicators assign it an average of 100% Sell. Long term indicators on average place the stock in the category of 100% Sell.

Based on estimates by 9 analysts, where scores have ranged from 1.00 for a strong buy to 5.00 for a strong sell, 8 have rated the B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) stock as a Hold, while 0 rate it as a Buy. 0 analyst(s) rate it as overweight while 0 of them rated it as underweight, whereas 1 suggest the stock as a Sell. The stock has an overall rating of Hold and investors could take advantage and scoop up stock of the company.

Looking further, we note the current price level is -12.49% off its SMA20 and -18.43% from its 50-day simple moving average. The RSI (14) is pointing at 32.45 while the volatility over the past week is 4.37% and jumps to 5.97% over the past one month. The beta value is 0.40, while the average true range (ATR) is currently pointing at 0.82. The average price target for the stock over the next 12 months is $14.44, with the estimates having a low of $12.50 and a high of $20.00. These price ends are 4.21% and -53.26% off the current price level respectively, although investors could be excited at the prospect of a -3.45% if the BGS share price touches on the median price of $13.50.

Let’s briefly compare B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) stock to its peers. We find that current price change of -1.36% and -58.03% over the past 12 months for BGS competes that of Conagra Brands Inc. (CAG), which has seen its stock price rise 0.49% in the last trading session and was 16.61% over the last one year. Another of its peers The Hain Celestial Group Inc. (HAIN) has dropped -2.56% previous session, and was -51.80% down over the past year, while Post Holdings Inc. (POST) was also up 1.47% in the last session, while its price remained in the green at 38.12% over the same period. In contrast to these companies, both the S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrial were at 1.36% and 1.18%, respectively, at close of the trading.

Coming back to B&G Foods Inc. (NYSE:BGS), we note that the average 3-month trading volume was 1.18 million, while that of the preceding 10-day period stands at 1.98 million. Current shares outstanding are 71.67 million.

The insiders hold 1.70% of the company’s shares while institutions hold 67.40%. The data shows that short shares as of Oct 13, 2022, stood at 12.59 million at a short ratio of 10.85. This represents a 17.57% short interest in shares outstanding on Oct 13, 2022. Shares short rose in October from the previous month at 10.79 million. Investors should be excited about this stock as its upside potential is great, with current price pushing the stock -57.53% down in year-to-date price movement.

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