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Analysts Say You Should Still Hold ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. (NYSE: ARR)

ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. (NYSE:ARR) traded at $5.69 at close of the session on Tuesday, 11/22/22, made an upward move of 0.35% on its previous day’s price.

Looking at the stock we see that its previous close was $5.67 with the day’s price range being $5.64 – $5.75. In terms of its 52-week price range, ARR has a high of $10.34 and a low of $4.38. The company’s stock has gained about 19.29% over that past 30 days.

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ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. has a market cap of $749.20 million and is expected to release its quarterly earnings report on Feb 14, 2023 – Feb 20, 2023. With its Forward Dividend at 1.20 and a yield of 21.09%, the company’s investors could be anxious for the ARR stock to gain ahead of the earnings release. Estimates by analysts give the company expected earnings per share (EPS) of $0.28, with the EPS growth for the year raised at $1.13 for 2022 and $1.12 for next year. These figures represent 17.70% and -0.90% growth in EPS for the two years respectively.

Analysts tracking the company’s growth have also given it a consensus growth in revenue estimated at $35.36 million, with a low of $33.58 million and a high of $37.15 million. The median projection represents growth squeezing down to 72.50% compared to sales growth for the corresponding quarter a year ago. According to analyst consensus estimates figures, the company’s yearly revenue forecast for 2022 is expected to hit $135.13 million, or 83.40% up from figures reported last year.

There have been 1 upward and no downward revisions for the stock’s EPS in last 7 days, something that reflects the nature of company’s price movement in short term. On the other hand, looking at the outlook for the ARR stock, short term indicators assign the stock an average of Hold, while medium term indicators assign it an average of 50% Sell. Long term indicators on average place the stock in the category of 100% Sell.

Based on estimates by 5 analysts, where scores have ranged from 1.00 for a strong buy to 5.00 for a strong sell, 4 have rated the ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. (ARR) stock as a Hold, while 0 rate it as a Buy. 0 analyst(s) rate it as overweight while 0 of them rated it as underweight, whereas 1 suggest the stock as a Sell. The stock has an overall rating of Hold and investors could take advantage and scoop up stock of the company.

Looking further, we note the current price level is 4.03% off its SMA20 and 4.68% from its 50-day simple moving average. The RSI (14) is pointing at 56.05 while the volatility over the past week is 2.94% and jumps to 3.90% over the past one month. The beta value is 1.15, while the average true range (ATR) is currently pointing at 0.22. The average price target for the stock over the next 12 months is $5.83, with the estimates having a low of $5.50 and a high of $6.00. These price ends are 3.34% and -5.45% off the current price level respectively, although investors could be excited at the prospect of a -5.45% if the ARR share price touches on the median price of $6.00.

Let’s briefly compare ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. (ARR) stock to its peers. We find that current price change of 0.35% and -43.83% over the past 12 months for ARR competes that of Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR), which has seen its stock price rise 0.38% in the last trading session and was -57.00% over the last one year. Another of its peers AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) has gained 1.06% previous session, and was -40.77% down over the past year, while AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc. (MITT) was also up 2.40% in the last session, while its price remained in the red at -47.34% over the same period. In contrast to these companies, both the S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrial were at 1.36% and 1.18%, respectively, at close of the trading.

Coming back to ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. (NYSE:ARR), we note that the average 3-month trading volume was 4.72 million, while that of the preceding 10-day period stands at 5.09 million. Current shares outstanding are 132.14 million.

The insiders hold 0.70% of the company’s shares while institutions hold 52.30%. The data shows that short shares as of Oct 13, 2022, stood at 15.93 million at a short ratio of 2.7. This represents a 12.01% short interest in shares outstanding on Oct 13, 2022. Shares short rose in October from the previous month at 11.67 million. Investors should be excited about this stock as its upside potential is great, with current price pushing the stock -42.00% down in year-to-date price movement.

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