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Etsy Inc. (NASDAQ: ETSY) Is Down -52.51% Year-To-Date, But There Is Speculation That It Will Rally

Etsy Inc. (NASDAQ:ETSY) traded at $106.82 at close of the session on Wednesday, September 21, made an upward move of 2.74% on its previous day’s price.

Looking at the stock we see that its previous close was $103.97 and the beta (5Y monthly) reads 1.74 with the day’s price range being $103.83 – $110.71. The company has a trailing 12-month PE ratio of 37.25. In terms of its 52-week price range, ETSY has a high of $307.75 and a low of $67.01. The company’s stock has lost about -2.84% over that past 30 days.

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Etsy Inc. has a market cap of $13.69 billion and is expected to release its quarterly earnings report on Feb 23, 2022 – Feb 28, 2022. Estimates by analysts give the company expected earnings per share (EPS) of $0.36, with the EPS growth for the year raised at $2.19 for 2022 and $2.72 for next year. These figures represent -35.60% and 24.20% growth in EPS for the two years respectively.

Analysts tracking the company’s growth have also given it a consensus growth in revenue estimated at $562.94 million, with a low of $539.97 million and a high of $590.26 million. According to analyst consensus estimates figures, the company’s yearly revenue forecast for 2022 is expected to hit $2.47 billion, or 6.00% up from figures reported last year.

There have been 8 upward and no downward revisions for the stock’s EPS in last 7 days, something that reflects the nature of company’s price movement in short term. On the other hand, looking at the outlook for the ETSY stock, short term indicators assign the stock an average of Hold, while medium term indicators assign it an average of Hold. Long term indicators on average place the stock in the category of Hold.

Looking further, we note the current price level is -0.56% off its SMA20 and 2.31% from its 50-day simple moving average. The RSI (14) is pointing at 49.31 while the volatility over the past week is 4.99% and jumps to 4.55% over the past one month. The beta value is 1.85, while the average true range (ATR) is currently pointing at 5.46.

Let’s briefly compare Etsy Inc. (ETSY) stock to its peers. We find that current price change of 2.74% and -52.23% over the past 12 months for ETSY competes that of Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), which has seen its stock price fall -0.15% in the last trading session and was -27.18% over the last one year. Another of its peers Walmart Inc. (WMT) has gained 1.71% previous session, and was -6.44% down over the past year. Etsy Inc. has a P/E ratio of 37.25 compared to Amazon.com Inc.’s 109.88 and Walmart Inc.’s 26.66. In contrast to these companies, both the S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrial were at 0.46% and 0.45%, respectively, at close of the trading.

Coming back to Etsy Inc. (NASDAQ:ETSY), we note that the average 3-month trading volume was 3.48 million, while that of the preceding 10-day period stands at 2.67 million. Current shares outstanding are 127.09 million.

The insiders hold 0.60% of the company’s shares. The data shows that short shares as of Jul 14, 2022, stood at 16.11 million at a short ratio of 4.24. This represents a 12.67% short interest in shares outstanding on Jul 14, 2022. Shares short rose in July from the previous month at 15.13 million. Investors should be excited about this stock as its upside potential is great, with current price pushing the stock -52.51% down in year-to-date price movement.

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