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Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE: BABA) Down -3.94%: What Analysts Predict Now

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) shares, rose in value on Friday, August 05, with the stock price down by -3.94% to the previous day’s close as strong demand from buyers drove the stock to $93.60.

Actively observing the price movement in the recent trading, the stock is buoying the session at $97.43, falling within a range of $95.06 and $103.00. The value of beta (5-year monthly) is 0.73 whereas the PE ratio is 29.18 over 12-month period. Referring to stock’s 52-week performance, its high was $200.29, and the low was $73.28. On the whole, BABA has fluctuated by -18.21% over the past month.

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With the market capitalization of Alibaba Group Holding Limited currently standing at about $302.53 billion, investors are eagerly awaiting this quarter’s results, scheduled for Jan 31, 2022 – Feb 04, 2022. As a result, investors might want to see an improvement in the stock’s price before the company announces its earnings report. Analysts are projecting the company’s earnings per share (EPS) to be $1.52, which is expected to increase to $2.05 for fiscal year $7.38 and then to about $8.86 by fiscal year 2024. Data indicates that the EPS growth is expected to be -5.40% in 2024, while the next year’s EPS growth is forecast to be 20.10%.

Analysts have estimated the company’s revenue for the quarter at $30.05 billion, with a low estimate of $29.17 billion and a high estimate of $31.5 billion. According to the average forecast, sales growth in current quarter could jump down -7.20%, compared to the corresponding quarter of last year. Wall Street analysts also predicted that in 2024, the company’s y-o-y revenues would reach $135.15 billion, representing an increase of 7.00% from the revenues reported in the last year’s results.

Revisions could be a useful indicator to get insight on short-term price movement; so for the company, there were no upward and no downward review(s) in last seven days. We see that BABA’s technical picture suggests that short-term indicators denote the stock is a 100% Sell on average. However, medium term indicators have put the stock in the category of 50% Sell while long term indicators on average have been pointing out that it is a 100% Sell.

57 analyst(s) have assigned their ratings of the stock’s forecast evaluation on a scale of 1.00-5.00 to indicate a strong buy to a strong sell recommendation. The stock is rated as a Hold by 4 analyst(s), 43 recommend it as a Buy and 9 called the BABA stock Overweight. In the meantime, 1 analyst(s) believe the stock as Underweight and 0 think it is a Sell. Thus, investors eager to increase their holdings of the company’s stock will have an opportunity to do so as the average rating for the stock is Buy.

The stock’s technical analysis shows that the PEG ratio is about 14.41, with the price of BABA currently trading nearly -8.41% and -10.33% away from the simple moving averages for 20 and 50 days respectively. The Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14) currently indicates a reading of 39.78, while the 7-day volatility ratio is showing 6.09% which for the 30-day chart, stands at 4.85%. Furthermore, Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA)’s beta value is 0.65, and its average true range (ATR) is 5.49. The company’s stock has been forecasted to trade at an average price of $1038.13 over the course of the next 52 weeks, with a low of $704.28 and a high of $1553.89. Based on these price targets, the low is -652.44% off current price, whereas the price has to move -1560.14% to reach the yearly target high. Additionally, analysts’ median price of $1012.74 is likely to be welcomed by investors because it represents a decrease of -981.99% from the current levels.

A comparison of Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) with its peers suggests the former has fared considerably weaker in the market. BABA showed an intraday change of -3.94% in today’s session so far, and over the past year, it shrunk by -51.46%%. In comparison, Overstock.com Inc. (OSTK) has moved higher at 0.07% today and is down -56.98% over the past 12 months. Additionally, there is a loss of -1.19% for eBay Inc. (EBAY) in recent trading while the stock has seen an overall depriciation of -29.60%% over the past year. The PE ratio stands at 29.18 for Alibaba Group Holding Limited, compared to 16.83 for Overstock.com Inc. Other than that, the overall performance of the S&P 500 during the today’s session so far shows that it lost -0.27%. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Slipped by -0.16%.

Data on historical trading for Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) indicates that the trading volumes over the past 10 days have averaged 31.27 million and over the past 3 months, they’ve averaged 28.38 million. According to company’s latest data on outstanding shares, there are 2.68 billion shares outstanding.

Nearly 0.01% of Alibaba Group Holding Limited’s shares belong to company insiders and institutional investors own 16.70% of the company’s shares. The data on short interest also indicates that stock shorts accounted for 42.68 million shares as on Jul 14, 2022, resulting in a short ratio of 1.62. According to the data, the short interest in Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) stood at 1.61% of shares outstanding as of Jul 14, 2022; the number of short shares registered in Jun 14, 2022 reached 39.83 million. The stock has fallen by -17.98% since the beginning of the year, thereby showing the potential of a further growth. This could raise investors’ confidence to be optimistic about the BABA stock heading into the next quarter.

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