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Are Coty Inc. (NYSE: COTY) Analysts Predicting A Spike?

Coty Inc. (NYSE:COTY) shares, rose in value on Thursday, June 23, with the stock price up by 1.01% to the previous day’s close as strong demand from buyers drove the stock to $7.49.

Actively observing the price movement in the recent trading, the stock is buoying the session at $7.42, falling within a range of $7.20 and $7.51. The value of beta (5-year monthly) is 2.47 whereas the PE ratio is 59.84 over 12-month period. Referring to stock’s 52-week performance, its high was $11.12, and the low was $5.90. On the whole, COTY has fluctuated by 18.34% over the past month.

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With the market capitalization of Coty Inc. currently standing at about $5.99 billion, investors are eagerly awaiting this quarter’s results, scheduled for Feb 07, 2022 – Feb 11, 2022. As a result, investors might want to see an improvement in the stock’s price before the company announces its earnings report. Analysts are projecting the company’s earnings per share (EPS) to be -$0.01, which is expected to increase to $0.15 for fiscal year $0.28 and then to about $0.35 by fiscal year 2023. Data indicates that the EPS growth is expected to be 2,700.00% in 2023, while the next year’s EPS growth is forecast to be 25.00%.

Analysts have estimated the company’s revenue for the quarter at $1.15 billion, with a low estimate of $1.12 billion and a high estimate of $1.18 billion. According to the average forecast, sales growth in current quarter could jump up 8.00%, compared to the corresponding quarter of last year. Wall Street analysts also predicted that in 2023, the company’s y-o-y revenues would reach $5.28 billion, representing an increase of 14.10% from the revenues reported in the last year’s results.

Revisions could be a useful indicator to get insight on short-term price movement; so for the company, there were no upward and no downward review(s) in last seven days. We see that COTY’s technical picture suggests that short-term indicators denote the stock is a 50% Sell on average. However, medium term indicators have put the stock in the category of 50% Sell while long term indicators on average have been pointing out that it is a 100% Sell.

15 analyst(s) have assigned their ratings of the stock’s forecast evaluation on a scale of 1.00-5.00 to indicate a strong buy to a strong sell recommendation. The stock is rated as a Hold by 7 analyst(s), 6 recommend it as a Buy and 2 called the COTY stock Overweight. In the meantime, 0 analyst(s) believe the stock as Underweight and 0 think it is a Sell. Thus, investors eager to increase their holdings of the company’s stock will have an opportunity to do so as the average rating for the stock is Overweight.

The stock’s technical analysis shows that the PEG ratio is about 0, with the price of COTY currently trading nearly 7.14% and 2.54% away from the simple moving averages for 20 and 50 days respectively. The Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14) currently indicates a reading of 56.42, while the 7-day volatility ratio is showing 5.70% which for the 30-day chart, stands at 4.75%. Furthermore, Coty Inc. (COTY)’s beta value is 2.18, and its average true range (ATR) is 0.38. The company’s stock has been forecasted to trade at an average price of $10.87 over the course of the next 52 weeks, with a low of $7.00 and a high of $15.00. Based on these price targets, the low is 6.54% off current price, whereas the price has to move -100.27% to reach the yearly target high. Additionally, analysts’ median price of $11.00 is likely to be welcomed by investors because it represents a decrease of -46.86% from the current levels.

A comparison of Coty Inc. (COTY) with its peers suggests the former has fared considerably weaker in the market. COTY showed an intraday change of 1.01% in today’s session so far, and over the past year, it shrunk by -14.22%%. In comparison, The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) has moved higher at 3.18% today and is down -17.50% over the past 12 months. On the other hand, the price of Inter Parfums Inc. (IPAR) has risen 1.37% today. The stock, however, is off -5.54% from where it was a year ago. Additionally, there is a gain of 2.32% for The Procter & Gamble Company (PG) in recent trading while the stock has seen an overall depriciation of 4.04%% over the past year. The PE ratio stands at 59.84 for Coty Inc., compared to 27.09 for The Estee Lauder Companies Inc., and 23.27 for Inter Parfums Inc. Other than that, the overall performance of the S&P 500 during the today’s session so far shows that it gained 0.95%. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Improved by 0.63%.

Data on historical trading for Coty Inc. (NYSE:COTY) indicates that the trading volumes over the past 10 days have averaged 9.08 million and over the past 3 months, they’ve averaged 9.01 million. According to company’s latest data on outstanding shares, there are 838.40 million shares outstanding.

Nearly 1.40% of Coty Inc.’s shares belong to company insiders and institutional investors own 39.00% of the company’s shares. The data on short interest also indicates that stock shorts accounted for 20.29 million shares as on Apr 28, 2022, resulting in a short ratio of 2.61. According to the data, the short interest in Coty Inc. (COTY) stood at 2.42% of shares outstanding as of Apr 28, 2022; the number of short shares registered in Mar 30, 2022 reached 31.63 million. The stock has fallen by -29.33% since the beginning of the year, thereby showing the potential of a further growth. This could raise investors’ confidence to be optimistic about the COTY stock heading into the next quarter.

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