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Making Sense Of Alcoa Corporation’s (NYSE:AA) Volatility

The trading price of Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA) floating lower at last check on Wednesday, June 22, closing at $49.09, -1.98% lower than its previous close.

Traders who pay close attention to intraday price movement should know that it has been fluctuating between $49.49 and $51.9399. The company’s P/E ratio in the trailing 12-month period was 13.38, while its 5Y monthly beta was 2.30. In examining the 52-week price action we see that the stock hit a 52-week high of $98.09 and a 52-week low of $31.00. Over the past month, the stock has lost -19.29% in value.

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Alcoa Corporation, whose market valuation is $9.31 billion at the time of this writing, is expected to release its quarterly earnings report Apr 13, 2022 – Apr 18, 2022. The dividend yield on the company stock is 0.80%, while its Forward Dividend ratio is 0.40. Investors’ optimism about the company’s current quarter earnings report is understandable. Analysts have predicted the quarterly earnings per share to grow by $3.2 per share this quarter, however they have predicted annual earnings per share of $11.62 for 2022 and $10.23 for 2023. It means analysts are expecting annual earnings per share growth of 70.10% this year and -12.00% next year.

Analysts have forecast the company to bring in revenue of $3.65 billion for the current quarter, with the likely lows of $3.11 billion and highs of $3.8 billion. The average estimate suggests sales will likely up by 38.00% this quarter compared to what was recorded in the comparable quarter last year. From the analysts’ viewpoint, the consensus estimate for the company’s annual revenue in 2022 is $14.34 billion. The company’s revenue is forecast to grow by 18.00% over what it did in 2022.

A company’s earnings reviews provide a brief indication of a stock’s direction in the short term, where in the case of Alcoa Corporation No upward and no downward comments were posted in the last 7 days. On the technical side, indicators suggest AA has a 100% Sell on average for the short term. According to the data of the stock’s medium term indicators, the stock is currently averaging as a 50% Sell, while an average of long term indicators suggests that the stock is currently 50% Sell.

Here is the average analyst rating on the stock as represented by 1.00 to 5.00, with the extremes of 1.00 and 5.00 suggesting the stock should be considered as either strong buy or strong sell respectively. The number of analysts that have assigned AA a recommendation rating is 14. Out of them, 6 rate it a Hold, while 7 recommend Buy, whereas 1 assign an Overweight rating. 0 analyst(s) have tagged Alcoa Corporation (AA) as Underweight, while 0 advise Sell. Analysts have rated the stock Overweight, likely urging investors to take advantage of the opportunity to add to their holdings of the company’s shares.

A quick review shows that AA’s price is currently -15.50% off the SMA20 and -24.29% off the SMA50. The RSI metric on the 14-day chart is currently showing 33.75, and weekly volatility stands at 5.77%. When measured over the past 30 days, the indicator reaches 5.78%. Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA)’s beta value is currently sitting at 2.29, while the Average True Range indicator is currently displaying 3.55. With analysts defining $72.00-$106.00 as the low and high price targets, we arrive at a consensus price target of $90.78 for the trailing 12-month period. The current price is about -46.67% off the estimated low and -115.93% off the forecast high, based on this estimate. Investors will be thrilled if AA’s share price rises to $91.00, which is the median consensus price. At that level, AA’s share price would be -85.37% below current price.

To see how Alcoa Corporation stock has been performing today in comparison to its peers in the industry, here are the numbers: AA stock’s performance was -1.98% at last check in today’s session, and 51.34% in the past year. Alcoa Corporation has a P/E ratio of 13.38. Also during today’s trading, the S&P 500 Index has surged 0.49%, while the Dow Jones Industrial also saw a positive session, up 0.26% today.

An evaluation of the daily trading volume of Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA) indicates that the 3-month average is 6.97 million.

Currently, records show that 184.00 million of the company’s shares remain outstanding. The insiders hold 0.80% of outstanding shares, whereas institutions hold 85.10%. However, since the stock’s price has seen -15.94% year-to-date, investors’ interest is likely to be reignited due to its potential to move even lower.

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