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American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ: AAL): An Enticing Stock To Watch

American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) shares, rose in value on Friday, May 13, with the stock price up by 4.87% to the previous day’s close as strong demand from buyers drove the stock to $16.25.

Actively observing the price movement in the recent trading, the stock is buoying the session at $15.49, falling within a range of $15.09 and $16.13. The value of beta (5-year monthly) is 1.64. Referring to stock’s 52-week performance, its high was $26.04, and the low was $12.44. On the whole, AAL has fluctuated by -9.57% over the past month.

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With the market capitalization of American Airlines Group Inc. currently standing at about $10.46 billion, investors are eagerly awaiting this quarter’s results, scheduled for Apr 20, 2022 – Apr 25, 2022. As a result, investors might want to see an improvement in the stock’s price before the company announces its earnings report. Analysts are projecting the company’s earnings per share (EPS) to be -$1.79, which is expected to increase to -$0.7 for fiscal year -$8.6 and then to about -$0.11 by fiscal year 2022. Data indicates that the EPS growth is expected to be 56.30% in 2022, while the next year’s EPS growth is forecast to be 98.70%.

Analysts have estimated the company’s revenue for the quarter at $9.09 billion, with a low estimate of $8.98 billion and a high estimate of $9.31 billion. According to the average forecast, sales growth in current quarter could jump up 125.60%, compared to the corresponding quarter of last year. Wall Street analysts also predicted that in 2022, the company’s y-o-y revenues would reach $29.52 billion, representing an increase of 70.30% from the revenues reported in the last year’s results.

Revisions could be a useful indicator to get insight on short-term price movement; so for the company, there were no upward and no downward review(s) in last seven days. We see that AAL’s technical picture suggests that short-term indicators denote the stock is a Hold on average. However, medium term indicators have put the stock in the category of 100% Sell while long term indicators on average have been pointing out that it is a 100% Sell.

The stock’s technical analysis shows that the PEG ratio is about 0, with the price of AAL currently trading nearly -12.42% and -5.81% away from the simple moving averages for 20 and 50 days respectively. The Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14) currently indicates a reading of 40.25, while the 7-day volatility ratio is showing 6.39% which for the 30-day chart, stands at 5.21%. Furthermore, American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL)’s beta value is 1.45, and its average true range (ATR) is 1.00.

A comparison of American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) with its peers suggests the former has fared considerably weaker in the market. AAL showed an intraday change of 4.87% in today’s session so far, and over the past year, it shrunk by -26.97%%. In comparison, Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV) has moved higher at 1.42% today and is down -29.37% over the past 12 months. On the other hand, the price of Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) has risen 3.65% today. The stock, however, is off -16.60% from where it was a year ago. Additionally, there is a gain of 3.69% for United Airlines Holdings Inc. (UAL) in recent trading while the stock has seen an overall depriciation of -20.85%% over the past year. Other than that, the overall performance of the S&P 500 during the today’s session so far shows that it gained 2.24%. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Improved by 1.41%.

Data on historical trading for American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) indicates that the trading volumes over the past 10 days have averaged 33.28 million and over the past 3 months, they’ve averaged 43.26 million. According to company’s latest data on outstanding shares, there are 649.50 million shares outstanding.

Nearly 1.00% of American Airlines Group Inc.’s shares belong to company insiders and institutional investors own 53.80% of the company’s shares. The data on short interest also indicates that stock shorts accounted for 85.98 million shares as on Feb 14, 2022, resulting in a short ratio of 1.99. According to the data, the short interest in American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) stood at 13.27% of shares outstanding as of Feb 14, 2022; the number of short shares registered in Jan 13, 2022 reached 85.91 million. The stock has fallen by -13.75% since the beginning of the year, thereby showing the potential of a further growth. This could raise investors’ confidence to be optimistic about the AAL stock heading into the next quarter.

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