Valley National Bancorp (NASDAQ: VLY)’S Stock Falls -3.73%, But It May Make Sense To Invest. – Stocks Register
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Valley National Bancorp (NASDAQ: VLY)’S Stock Falls -3.73%, But It May Make Sense To Invest.

Valley National Bancorp (NASDAQ:VLY) price closed lower on Tuesday, September 14, dropping -3.73% below its previous close.

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A look at the daily price movement shows that the last close reads $12.32, with intraday deals fluctuated between $11.80 and $12.28. The company’s 5Y monthly beta was ticking 1.31 while its P/E ratio in the trailing 12-month period read 11.19. Taking into account the 52-week price action we note that the stock hit a 52-week high of $14.74 and 52-week low of $6.50. The stock subtracted -10.36% on its value in the past month.


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Valley National Bancorp, which has a market valuation of $4.95 billion, is expected to release its quarterly earnings report Oct 20, 2021 – Oct 25, 2021. The company stock has a Forward Dividend ratio of 0.44, while the dividend yield is 3.71%. It is understandable that investor optimism is growing ahead of the company’s current quarter results. Analysts tracking VLY have forecast the quarterly EPS to grow by 0.29 per share this quarter, while the same analysts predict the annual EPS to hit $1.17 for the year 2021 and up to $1.17 for 2022.

On average, analysts have forecast the company’s revenue for the quarter will hit $339.24 million, with the likely lows of $335.2 million and highs of $345 million. Staying with the analyst view, there is a consensus estimate of $1.35 billion for the company’s annual revenue in 2021. Per this projection, the revenue is forecast to grow 3.60% above that which the company brought in 2021.

Revisions to the company’s EPS highlights a short term direction of a stock’s price movement, which in the last 7 days came up with no upward and no downward reviews. On the technical perspective front, indicators give VLY a short term outlook of 50% Sell on average. Looking at the stock’s medium term indicators we note that it is averaging as a 50% Sell, while an average of long term indicators are currently assigning the stock as 50% Sell.

Here is a look at the average analyst rating for the stock as represented on a scale of 1.00 to 5.00, with the extremes of 1.00 and 5.00 suggesting the stock is strong buy or strong sell respectively. Specifically, 10 analysts have assigned VLY a recommendation rating as follows: 4 rate it as a Hold; 5 advise Buy while 0 analyst(s) assign an Overweight rating. 0 analyst(s) have tagged the Valley National Bancorp (VLY) stock as Underweight, with 1 recommending Sell. In general, analysts have rated the stock Overweight, a scenario likely to bolster investors out for an opportunity to add to their holdings of the company’s shares.

If we dive deeper into the stock’s performance we see the positive picture represented by the PEG ratio, currently standing at 2.24. The overview shows that VLY’s price is at present -8.22% off the SMA20 and -8.72% from the SMA50. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) metric on the 14-day timeframe is pointing at 29.53, with weekly volatility standing at 2.60%. The indicator jumps to 2.28% when calculated based on the past 30 days. Valley National Bancorp (NASDAQ:VLY)’s beta value is holding at 1.32, while the average true range (ATR) indicator is currently reading 0.30. Considering analysts have assigned the stock a price target range of $12.00-$17.00 as the low and high respectively, we find the trailing 12-month average consensus price target to be $14.93. Based on this estimate, we see that current price is roughly -1.18% off the estimated low and -43.34% off the forecast high. Investors will no doubt be excited to see the share price fall to $15.00, which is the median consensus price, and at that level VLY would be -26.48% from current price.

Turning out attention to how the Valley National Bancorp stock has performed in comparison to its peers in the industry, here’s what we find: VLY’s stock is -3.73% on the day and 60.27% in the past 12 months, while Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation (PGC) traded -2.45% in the last session and was positioned 94.10% up on its price 12 months ago. Another comparison is with Lakeland Bancorp Inc. (LBAI) whose stock price was down -1.51% in the last trading session, and has flourished 52.23% over the past year. Also, Universal Electronics Inc. (UEIC) showed down trend of -1.56% while its price kept floating at 35.37% over the past year. As for Valley National Bancorp, the P/E ratio stands at 11.19 lower than that of Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation’s at 14.12 and Lakeland Bancorp Inc.’s 9.99. Elsewhere in the market, the S&P 500 Index has stumbled -0.57% in last trading session, with the Dow Jones Industrial also saw a negative session on the day with -0.84%.

An analysis of the Valley National Bancorp (NASDAQ:VLY) stock in terms of its daily trading volume indicates that the 3-month average is 1.97 million. However, this figure increases on the past 10-day timeline to an average of 2.09 million.

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Current records show that the company has 405.96M in outstanding shares. The insiders’ percentage holdings are 0.50% of outstanding shares while the percentage share held by institutions stands at 66.20%. The stats also highlight that short interest as of Aug 12, 2021, stood at 6.05 million shares, which puts the short ratio at the time at 3.12. From this we can glean that short interest is 1.49% of company’s current outstanding shares. Notably, we see that shares short in August fall slightly given the previous month’s figure stood at 6.24 million. But the 21.64% upside, the stock’s price has registered year-to-date as of last trading, will likely reignite investor interest given the prospect of it rallying even higher.

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