Alcoa Corporation (NYSE: AA): Blank Check For Growth? – Stocks Register
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Alcoa Corporation (NYSE: AA): Blank Check For Growth?

Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA) shares, rose in value on Wednesday, 06/09/21, with the stock price down by -0.91% to the previous day’s close as strong demand from buyers drove the stock to $37.64.

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Actively observing the price movement in the recent trading, the stock is buoying the session at $37.98, falling within a range of $37.49 and $38.68. Referring to stock’s 52-week performance, its high was $44.42, and the low was $10.27. On the whole, AA has fluctuated by -7.46% over the past month.

As a result, investors might want to see an improvement in the stock’s price before the company announces its earnings report. Analysts are projecting the company’s earnings per share (EPS) to be $1.21, which is expected to increase to $1.76 for fiscal year $4.11 and then to about $3.87 by fiscal year 2022. Data indicates that the EPS growth is expected to be 454.30% in 2022, while the next year’s EPS growth is forecast to be -5.80%.

Analysts have estimated the company’s revenue for the quarter at $2.61 billion, with a low estimate of $2.5 billion and a high estimate of $2.75 billion. According to the average forecast, sales growth in current quarter could jump up 23.70%, compared to the corresponding quarter of last year. Wall Street analysts also predicted that in 2022, the company’s y-o-y revenues would reach $10.78 billion, representing an increase of 16.10% from the revenues reported in the last year’s results.

Revisions could be a useful indicator to get insight on short-term price movement; so for the company, there were no upward and no downward review(s) in last seven days. We see that AA’s technical picture suggests that short-term indicators denote the stock is a 50% Buy on average. However, medium term indicators have put the stock in the category of 100% Buy while long term indicators on average have been pointing out that it is a 100% Buy.

13 analyst(s) have assigned their ratings of the stock’s forecast evaluation on a scale of 1.00-5.00 to indicate a strong buy to a strong sell recommendation. The stock is rated as a Hold by 6 analyst(s), 7 recommend it as a Buy and 0 called the AA stock Overweight. In the meantime, 0 analyst(s) believe the stock as Underweight and 0 think it is a Sell. Thus, investors eager to increase their holdings of the company’s stock will have an opportunity to do so as the average rating for the stock is Overweight.

The stock’s technical analysis shows that the PEG ratio is about 0, with the price of AA currently trading nearly -1.83% and 3.27% away from the simple moving averages for 20 and 50 days respectively. The Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14) currently indicates a reading of 49.09, while the 7-day volatility ratio is showing 3.89% which for the 30-day chart, stands at 4.75%. Furthermore, Alcoa Corporation (AA)’s beta value is 2.71, and its average true range (ATR) is 1.90. The company’s stock has been forecasted to trade at an average price of $40.32 over the course of the next 52 weeks, with a low of $27.00 and a high of $56.00. Based on these price targets, the low is 28.27% off current price, whereas the price has to move -48.78% to reach the yearly target high. Additionally, analysts’ median price of $39.00 is likely to be welcomed by investors because it represents a decrease of -3.61% from the current levels.


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A comparison of Alcoa Corporation (AA) with its peers suggests the former has fared considerably weaker in the market. AA showed an intraday change of -0.91% in today’s session so far, and over the past year, it grew by 201.67%%. In comparison, BHP Group (BBL) has moved higher at 0.20% today and is up 38.35% over the past 12 months. Other than that, the overall performance of the S&P 500 during the today’s session so far shows that it gained 0.41%. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Improved by 0.32%.

Data on historical trading for Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA) indicates that the trading volumes over the past 10 days have averaged 5.17 million and over the past 3 months, they’ve averaged 6.58 million. According to company’s latest data on outstanding shares, there are 186.00 million shares outstanding.

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Nearly 0.80% of Alcoa Corporation’s shares belong to company insiders and institutional investors own 81.40% of the company’s shares. The data on short interest also indicates that stock shorts accounted for 9.52 million shares as on May 27, 2021, resulting in a short ratio of 1.44. According to the data, the short interest in Alcoa Corporation (AA) stood at 5.10% of shares outstanding as of May 27, 2021; the number of short shares registered in Apr 29, 2021 reached 9.3 million. The stock has risen by 64.77% since the beginning of the year, thereby showing the potential of a further growth. This could raise investors’ confidence to be optimistic about the AA stock heading into the next quarter.

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