Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) price is hovering higher on Tuesday, Apr 20, jumping 4.65% above its previous close.
A look at today’s price movement shows that the recent level at last check reads $44.29, with intraday deals fluctuating between $44.60 and $47.51. The company’s 5Y monthly beta was ticking 1.48 while its P/E ratio in the trailing 12-month period read 11072.5. Taking into account the 52-week price action we note that the stock hit a 52-week high of $46.44 and 52-week low of $17.34. The stock added 22.69% on its value in the past month.
Harley-Davidson, Inc., which has a market valuation of $6.8 Billion, is expected to release its quarterly earnings report in Jun 2021. The company stock has a Forward Dividend ratio of 0.6, while the dividend yield is 1.35. It is understandable that investor optimism is growing ahead of the company’s current quarter results. Analysts tracking HOG have forecast the quarterly EPS to grow by $0.97 per share this quarter, while the same analysts predict the annual EPS to hit $2.55 for the year 2021 and up to $2.99 for 2022. In this case, analysts estimate an annual EPS growth of 254% for the year and 0.17% for the next year.
On average, analysts have forecast the company’s revenue for the quarter will hit $1.22 Billion, with the likely lows of $1.01 Billion and highs of $1.5 Billion. The average estimate suggests sales growth for the quarter will likely rise by 51.3% when compared to those recorded in the same quarter in the last financial year. Staying with the analyst view, there is a consensus estimate of $4.12 Billion for the company’s annual revenue in 2021. Per this projection, the revenue is forecast to grow +26.2% above that which the company brought in 2020.
Revisions to the company’s EPS highlights a short term direction of a stock’s price movement, which in the last 7 days came up with 1 upward and no downward reviews. On the technical perspective front, indicators give HOG a short term outlook of 100% Buy on average. Looking at the stock’s medium term indicators we note that it is averaging as a 50% Buy, while an average of long term indicators are currently assigning the stock as 100% Buy.
Here is a look at the average analyst rating for the stock as represented on a scale of 1.00 to 5.00, with the extremes of 1.00 and 5.00 suggesting the stock is strong buy or strong sell respectively. Specifically, 17 analysts have assigned HOG a recommendation rating as follows: 8 rate it as a Hold; 7 advise Buy while 1 analyst(s) assign an Outperform rating. 1 analyst(s) have tagged the Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) stock as Underperform, with none recommending Sell. In general, analysts have rated the stock Overweight, a scenario likely to bolster investors out for an opportunity to add to their holdings of the company’s shares.
If we dive deeper into the stock’s performance we see the positive picture represented by the PEG ratio, currently standing at 22145. The overview shows that HOG’s price is at present 18.5% off the SMA20 and 24.34% from the SMA50. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) metric on the 14-day timeframe is pointing at 75.85, with weekly volatility standing at 4.45%. The indicator drops to 3.63% when calculated based on the past 30 days. Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG)’s beta value is holding at 1.48, while the average true range (ATR) indicator is currently reading 1.77. Considering analysts have assigned the stock a price target range of $33-$65 as the low and high respectively, we find the trailing 12-month average consensus price target to be $42.1. Based on this estimate, we see that today’s price at last check is roughly -28.8% off the estimated low and 40.24% off the forecast high. Investors will no doubt be excited to see the share price rise to $39.5, which is the median consensus price, and at that level HOG would be -14.78% from recent price.
Turning out attention to how the Harley-Davidson, Inc. stock has performed in comparison to its peers in the industry, here’s what we find: HOG’s stock is +4.65% on the day and +128.89% in the past 12 months, while Tesla Inc (TSLA) traded -0.21% in the latest session and is positioned +373.96% up on its price 12 months ago. Another comparison is with General Motors Company (GM) whose stock price is down -4.44% in the current trading session, and has flourished +157.47% over the past year. Also, Ford Motor Company (F) is currently showing uptrend of 4.65% while its price kept floating at 128.89% over the past year. As for Harley-Davidson, Inc., the P/E ratio stands at 11072.5 higher than that of Tesla Inc’s at 1148.92 and General Motors Company’s 13.39. Elsewhere in the market, the S&P 500 Index has fell -0.83% in today’s early trading, with the Dow Jones Industrial also seeing a negative session so far with -0.82%.
An analysis of the Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) stock in terms of its daily trading volume indicates that the 3-month average is 2.23 Million. However, this figure declines on the past 10-day timeline to an average of 2.04 Million.
Current records show that the company has 153.25 Million in outstanding shares. According to data from Thomson Reuters, insiders’ percentage holdings are 0.57% of outstanding shares while the percentage share held by institutions stands at 96.02%. The stats also highlight that short interest as of March 30, 2021, stood at 15.8 Million shares, which puts the short ratio at the time at 8.79. From this we can glean that short interest is 10.31% of company’s current outstanding shares. Notably, we see that shares short in March fell slightly given the previous month’s figure stood at 17.29 Million. But the +20.68% upside, the stock’s price has registered year-to-date as of today’s value, will likely reignite investor interest given the prospect of it rallying even higher.