The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO)’s Upside Potential Is High

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) shares, dropped in value on Thursday, Apr 08, with the stock price down by -5.96% to the previous day’s close as weak demand from buyers trailed the stock to $5.84.

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Actively observing the price movement in the recent trading, the stock is buoying the session at $6.21, falling within a range of $5.68 and $6.07. The value of beta (5-year monthly) is 0.83 whereas the PE ratio is 6.59 over 12-month period. Referring to stock’s 52-week performance, its high was $15.45, and the low was $6.21. On the whole, GEO has fluctuated by -22.57% over the past month.

With the market capitalization of The GEO Group, Inc. currently standing at about $762.22 Million, investors are eagerly awaiting this quarter’s results, scheduled for Apr 28, 2021- May 03, 2021. The company’s Forward Dividend Ratio is 1, with its dividend yield at 16.1%. As a result, investors might want to see an improvement in the stock’s price before the company announces its earnings report. Analysts are projecting the company’s earnings per share (EPS) to be $0.19, which is expected to decline to $1.2 for fiscal year 2021 and then to about $1.04 by fiscal year 2022. Data indicates that the EPS growth is expected to be -0.23% in 2021, while the next year’s EPS growth is forecast to be 0.13%.

We see that GEO’s technical picture suggests that short-term indicators denote the stock is a 100% Sell on average. However, medium term indicators have put the stock in the category of 100% Sell while long term indicators on average have been pointing out that it is a 100% Sell.

1 analyst(s) have assigned their ratings of the stock’s forecast evaluation on a scale of 1.00-5.00 to indicate a strong buy to a strong sell recommendation. The stock is rated as a Hold by none analyst(s), 1 recommend it as a Buy and no body called the GEO stock Outperform. In the meantime, none analyst(s) believe the stock as Underperform and none think it is a Sell. Thus, investors eager to increase their holdings of the company’s stock will have an opportunity to do so as the average rating for the stock is Buy.

The stock’s technical analysis shows that the PEG ratio is about 0.44, with the price of GEO currently trading nearly -25.45% and -26.96% away from the simple moving averages for 20 and 50 days respectively. The Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14) currently indicates a reading of 21.12, while the 7-day volatility ratio is showing 3.59% which for the 30-day chart, stands at 3.47%. Furthermore, The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO)’s beta value is 0.83, and its average true range (ATR) is 0.36. The company’s stock has been forecasted to trade at an average price of $15 over the course of the next 52 weeks, with a low of $15 and a high of $15. Based on these price targets, the low is 156.85 off current price, whereas the price has to move +156.85% to reach the yearly target high. Additionally, analysts’ median price of $15 is likely to be welcomed by investors because it represents an increase of +156.85% from the current levels.

A comparison of The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) with its peers suggests the former has fared considerably weaker in the market. GEO showed an intraday change of -5.96% in today’s session so far, and over the past year, it dropped by -47.95%. In comparison, American Tower Corp (AMT) has moved lower at -0.84% today and is up +4.05% over the past 12 months. On the other hand, the price of Prologis Inc (PLD) has fallen -0.36% today. The stock, however, is off 36.64% from where it was a year ago. Additionally, there is a decline of -596% for Crown Castle International Corp (CCI) in recent trading while the stock has seen an overall depriciation of -47.95% over the past year. The PE ratio stands at 6.59 for The GEO Group, Inc., compared to 64.57 for American Tower Corp, and 54.35 for Prologis Inc. Other than that, the overall performance of the S&P 500 during the today’s session so far shows that it gained 0.29%. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial weakened by -0.03%.

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Data on historical trading for The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) indicates that the trading volumes over the past 10 days have averaged 2.59 Million and over the past 3 months, they’ve averaged 4.95 Million. According to company’s latest data on outstanding shares, there are 121.63 Million shares outstanding.

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Nearly 3.36% of The GEO Group, Inc.’s shares belong to company insiders and institutional investors own 74.69% of the company’s shares, according to Thomson Reuters’ data. The data on short interest also indicates that stock shorts accounted for 33.44 Million shares as on March 14, 2021, resulting in a short ratio of 5.84. According to the data, the short interest in The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) stood at 27.49% of shares outstanding as of March 14, 2021; the number of short shares registered in February reached 24.05 Million. The stock has fallen by -29.91% since the beginning of the year, thereby showing the risk of a further decline. This could cause investors’ confidence to be optimistic about the GEO stock heading into the next quarter.

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