Bullish or Bearish for Enphase Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:ENPH) in 2021

Enphase Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:ENPH) shares, dropped in value on Wednesday, Apr 07, with the stock price down by -5.01% to the previous day’s close as weak demand from buyers trailed the stock to $150.01.

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Actively observing the price movement in the last trading, the stock closed the session at $157.92, falling within a range of $149.23 and $157.68. The value of beta (5-year monthly) was 1.24 whereas the PE ratio was 167.24 over 12-month period. Referring to stock’s 52-week performance, its high was $229.04, and the low was $34.34. On the whole, ENPH has fluctuated by 13.59% over the past month.

With the market capitalization of Enphase Energy, Inc. currently standing at about $19.29 Billion, investors are eagerly awaiting this quarter’s results, scheduled for May 03, 2021- May 07, 2021. The company’s Forward Dividend Ratio is 0, with its dividend yield at 0%. As a result, investors may see a weakening in the stock’s price before the company announces its earnings report. Analysts are projecting the company’s earnings per share (EPS) to be $0.44, which is expected to increase to $1.37 for fiscal year 2021 and then to about $2.76 by fiscal year 2022. Data indicates that the EPS growth is expected to be 0.54% in 2021, while the next year’s EPS growth is forecast to be 0.31%.

Analysts have estimated the company’s revenue for the quarter at $292.04 Million, with a low estimate of $280.5 Million and a high estimate of $303.7 Million. According to the average forecast, sales growth in current quarter could jump up +42.1%, compared to the corresponding quarter of last year. Wall Street analysts also predicted that in 2021, the company’s y-o-y revenues would reach $1.34 Billion, representing an increase of 73.6% from the revenues reported in the last year’s results.

We see that ENPH’s technical picture suggests that short-term indicators denote the stock is a 50% Sell on average. However, medium term indicators have put the stock in the category of 50% Buy while long term indicators on average have been pointing out that it is a 50% Buy.

22 analyst(s) have assigned their ratings of the stock’s forecast evaluation on a scale of 1.00-5.00 to indicate a strong buy to a strong sell recommendation. The stock is rated as a Hold by 7 analyst(s), 15 recommend it as a Buy and no body called the ENPH stock Outperform. In the meantime, none analyst(s) believe the stock as Underperform and none think it is a Sell. Thus, investors eager to increase their holdings of the company’s stock will have an opportunity to do so as the average rating for the stock is Overweight.

The stock’s technical analysis shows that the PEG ratio is about 4.44, with the price of ENPH currently trading nearly -4.13% and -12.84% away from the simple moving averages for 20 and 50 days respectively. The Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14) currently indicates a reading of 45.48, while the 7-day volatility ratio is showing 7.31% which for the 30-day chart, stands at 7.57%. Furthermore, Enphase Energy, Inc. (ENPH)’s beta value is 1.24, and its average true range (ATR) is 12.96. The company’s stock has been forecasted to trade at an average price of $222.88 over the course of the next 52 weeks, with a low of $167 and a high of $264. Based on these price targets, the low is 11.33 off current price, whereas the price has to move +75.99% to reach the yearly target high. Additionally, analysts’ median price of $225 is likely to be welcomed by investors because it represents an increase of +49.99% from the current levels.


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A comparison of Enphase Energy, Inc. (ENPH) with its peers suggests the former has fared considerably better in the market. ENPH showed an intraday change of -5.01% in last session, and over the past year, it grew by +340.56%. In comparison, Solaredge Tech (SEDG) has moved lower at -5.34% on the day and was up +208.22% over the past 12 months. On the other hand, the price of Sunrun Inc (RUN) has fallen -3.58% on the day. The stock, however, is off 443.19% from where it was a year ago. Additionally, there is a decline of -501% for First Solar Inc (FSLR) in last trading while the stock has seen an overall apprecation of 340.56% over the past year. The PE ratio stands at 167.24 for Enphase Energy, Inc., compared to 98.59 for Solaredge Tech, and 0 for Sunrun Inc. Other than that, the overall performance of the S&P 500 during the last trading session shows that it gained 0.15%. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial improved by 0.05%.

Data on historical trading for Enphase Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:ENPH) indicates that the trading volumes over the past 10 days have averaged 2.76 Million and over the past 3 months, they’ve averaged 4.04 Million. According to company’s latest data on outstanding shares, there are 135.6 Million shares outstanding.

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Nearly 8.57% of Enphase Energy, Inc.’s shares belong to company insiders and institutional investors own 77.2% of the company’s shares, according to Thomson Reuters’ data. The data on short interest also indicates that stock shorts accounted for 4.32 Million shares as on March 14, 2021, resulting in a short ratio of 1.06. According to the data, the short interest in Enphase Energy, Inc. (ENPH) stood at 3.21% of shares outstanding as of March 14, 2021; the number of short shares registered in February reached 5.95 Million. The stock has fallen by -14.51% since the beginning of the year, thereby showing the risk of a further decline. This could cause investors’ confidence to be optimistic about the ENPH stock heading into the next quarter.

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